Rabu, 11 Maret 2020

Stock futures fall as investors seek stimulus to combat virus spread - Reuters

A trader works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, New York, U.S., March 10, 2020. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly

(Reuters) - U.S. stock index futures were down 2% on Wednesday after strong gains in the previous session, with investors growing frustrated about the lack of details on fiscal stimulus floated by President Donald Trump to combat the coronavirus epidemic.

Wall Street jumped nearly 5% on Tuesday, driven by expectations that Trump would discuss a payroll tax cut and announce other “major” stimulus measures at a news conference.

While Trump met with fellow Republicans in the U.S. Senate on Tuesday, he did not outline any steps to bolster domestic economic growth.

Any plan the White House introduces will need to be approved by both houses of the U.S. Congress.

Futures also shrugged off a surprise move by the Bank of England to cut interest rates and support bank lending, which had lifted sentiment in Europe and Asia overnight. [MKTS/GLOB]

At 6:31 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis 1YMcv1 were down 526 points, or 2.12%. S&P 500 e-minis EScv1 were down 66 points, or 2.3% and Nasdaq 100 e-minis NQcv1 were down 187 points, or 2.24%.

The three main indexes came within a hair's breadth of confirming bear market territory, implying a drop of 20% from record highs, on Monday following a collapse in oil prices. The S&P 500 .SPX is now about 15% below its all-time high hit just three weeks earlier.

Reporting by Medha Singh in Bengaluru; Editing by Shounak Dasgupta

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2020-03-11 13:06:02Z
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Oil price crash is making big oil companies slash spending - Yahoo Finance

The aftermath of the Saudi Arabia driven crash in oil prices Monday on producers and drillers is now starting to appear. And it’s looking damn ugly.

Despite the coronavirus outbreak triggering conference and concert cancellations globally, the bankers at Goldman Sachs have managed to stay the course on hosting 25 oil companies in Houston this week. The conference is comprised of oil service, energy and production, oil majors, refining companies and mid-stream players. Word out of the conference is that capital expenditure spending budgets will be slashed big-time as oil companies try to cut costs and replan for a future of much lower oil prices.

Goldman Sachs analyst Angie Sedita notes U.S. energy and production companies attending see cutting capex by 20% to 50% in 2020. Meanwhile, oil service companies have called out 20% to 50% in capex cuts this year, as well as plans to swiftly reduce headcount.

Oilfield service companies Schlumberger and Halliburton stand out as two of the more aggressive capex cutters. Sclumberger said it will reduce capex by 15% to 30%, Halliburton will cut more than its current guidance of 20%.

A Halliburton facility in Port Fourchon, Louisiana (Photo credit should read MIRA OBERMAN/AFP via Getty Images)

Most of the companies in attendance have vowed to defend their dividends. Obviously that is not the case at Occidental Petroleum. The oil company — still reeling from an ill-timed $33 billion takeover of Anadarko in 2019 — slashed its dividend for the first time in 30 years on Tuesday by nearly 90%.

Tough road ahead

Not all is doom and gloom at the conference, though it’s hard to find anything positive with the entire space being hammered.

“The upside is that many of the companies believed that while a difficult road ahead in 2020, the outcome would be: a) a more swiftly correcting oil market with U.S. production declines in 2021 estimated to be 300-500k bbls/d (vs growth), and b) a healthier industry with the potential exit of weaker players, consolidation, and more rapid attrition/scale reduction,” says Sedita.

A minor win, very minor.

Oil prices dropped by more than 20% on Monday following Saudi Arabia’s decision over the weekend to cut prices. At one point Sunday evening, crude oil futures were down about 40%. Prices have attempted to rally since, but experts that have talked to Yahoo Finance believe sub-$40 a barrel is likely for some time.

Shares of Apache fell by more than 50% on Monday, while Exxon at one point was down close to 20% on the session.

For its part, Goldman doesn’t rule out oil prices plunging to below $20 a barrel.

“The prognosis for the oil market is even more dire than in November 2014, when such a price war last started, as it comes to a head with the significant collapse in oil demand due to the coronavirus. This is the equivalent of a 1Q09 demand shock amid a 2Q15 OPEC production surge for a likely 1Q16 price outcome. As a result, we are cutting our 2Q and 3Q20 Brent price forecasts to $30/bbl with possible dips in prices to operational stress levels and well-head cash costs near $20/bbl,” Goldman Sachs oil strategist Damien Courvalin said earlier in the week.

Brian Sozzi is an editor-at-large and co-anchor of The First Trade at Yahoo Finance. Follow Sozzi on Twitter @BrianSozzi and on LinkedIn.

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2020-03-11 12:09:00Z
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Stock futures fall as investors seek stimulus to combat virus spread - Reuters

A trader works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, New York, U.S., March 10, 2020. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly

(Reuters) - U.S. stock index futures were down 2% on Wednesday after strong gains in the previous session, with investors growing frustrated about the lack of details on fiscal stimulus floated by President Donald Trump to combat the coronavirus epidemic.

Wall Street jumped nearly 5% on Tuesday, driven by expectations that Trump would discuss a payroll tax cut and announce other “major” stimulus measures at a news conference.

While Trump met with fellow Republicans in the U.S. Senate on Tuesday, he did not outline any steps to bolster domestic economic growth.

Any plan the White House introduces will need to be approved by both houses of the U.S. Congress.

Futures also shrugged off a surprise move by the Bank of England to cut interest rates and support bank lending, which had lifted sentiment in Europe and Asia overnight. [MKTS/GLOB]

At 6:31 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis 1YMcv1 were down 526 points, or 2.12%. S&P 500 e-minis EScv1 were down 66 points, or 2.3% and Nasdaq 100 e-minis NQcv1 were down 187 points, or 2.24%.

The three main indexes came within a hair's breadth of confirming bear market territory, implying a drop of 20% from record highs, on Monday following a collapse in oil prices. The S&P 500 .SPX is now about 15% below its all-time high hit just three weeks earlier.

Reporting by Medha Singh in Bengaluru; Editing by Shounak Dasgupta

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2020-03-11 12:36:09Z
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4 deaths, 30 hospitalizations linked to recalled mushrooms - WJW FOX 8 News Cleveland

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  1. 4 deaths, 30 hospitalizations linked to recalled mushrooms  WJW FOX 8 News Cleveland
  2. Hawaii resident dead from listeria; Sun Hong Foods, Inc. recalls enoki mushrooms for possible Liste  KHON2 News
  3. At least 1 dead in Hawaii from multistate listeria outbreak from enoki mushrooms  Honolulu Star-Advertiser
  4. Listeria outbreak linked to enoki mushrooms kills 4, sickens 36 across 17 states  USA TODAY
  5. Mushrooms Recalled Over Listeria Concerns After 36 Sickened, 4 Dead Across US  NBC 10 Philadelphia
  6. View Full Coverage on Google News

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2020-03-11 11:31:05Z
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Dow futures point to an opening loss of 600 points after Tuesday's surge - msnNOW

U.S. stock futures fell sharply on Wednesday, pointing to another volatile session on Wall Street as the number of coronavirus cases around the world keeps rising.

The trading floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) is seen in New York City, New York, U.S., March 10, 2020. © Thomson Reuters The trading floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) is seen in New York City, New York, U.S., March 10, 2020.

Around 7 a.m. ET, Dow Jones Industrial Average futures indicated a loss of more than 600 points at the open. S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures also pointed to steep losses.

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The number of coronavirus cases around the world total more than 100,000, according to data from Johns Hopkins University. In the U.S. alone, more than 1,000 cases have been confirmed. This increase in cases added to fears of a global economic slowdown.

Oil prices fell along with Treasury yields. U.S. crude fell more than 2% to $33.51 per barrel. Meanwhile, the benchmark 10-year note yield traded at 0.7%.

Central banks have also taken action to curb slower economic growth. The Bank of England on Wednesday cut its benchmark rate by 50 basis points to 0.25%.The move follows a 50 basis-point rate cut by the Federal Reserve earlier this month.

The move down in futures comes after the major averages regained a chunk of their losses on Tuesday. The Dow rallied more than 1,100 points while the S&P 500 had its best one-day performance since Dec. 26, 2018.

“Stocks posted impressive headline gains, but more strength needs to be seen beneath the surface to have confidence that the downside momentum in stocks has been broken,” Willie Delwiche, investment strategist at Baird, said in a note. “The weight of the evidence continues to argue for caution in the near term and we recommend that investors remain patient in the face of ongoing market volatility.”

Stocks were lifted Tuesday in part by hopes that the U.S. government will move forward with fiscal stimulus to curb an economic slowdown from the coronavirus spread. A White House official told CNBC that President Donald Trump pitched a 0% payroll tax rate for the rest of 2020. However, the timing of such policies being implemented remains uncertain.

“We need to see meaningful support for economic activity and credit backstops especially for small businesses, not a targeted approach executed only by the executive branch,” Joe Kalish, chief global macro strategist at Ned Davis Research, said in a note. “We will likely need congressional involvement.  This is a potential solvency problem.”

The number of coronavirus cases around the world total more than 100,000, according to data from Johns Hopkins University. In the U.S. alone, more than 800 cases have been confirmed along with at least 28 deaths, the data shows.

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2020-03-11 11:00:00Z
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Bank of England cuts rates in emergency move to combat coronavirus impact - CNBC

Mark Carney, governor of the Bank of England (BOE), gestures while speaking during the bank's quarterly inflation report news conference in the City of London, U.K., on Thursday, Aug. 2, 2018. 

Simon Dawson | Bloomberg | Getty Images

The Bank of England (BOE) announced Wednesday an emergency cut to interest rates in an attempt to limit the economic impact from the new coronavirus.

The announcement follows a similar decision by the U.S. Federal Reserve last week. The virus that began in China late last year has spread worldwide and is impacting all major economies, with flight cancellations, panic buying and strict quarantine measures in some cases. As of Wednesday morning, the U.K. had 382 confirmed cases of the coronavirus, including the country's health minister Nadine Dorries. 

"At its special meeting ending on 10 March 2020, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted unanimously to reduce Bank Rate by 50 basis points to 0.25%," the Bank of England said in a statement on Wednesday.

The central bank also announced a new term-funding scheme to support small and medium-sized companies, as well as new steps to help commercial banks lend more. 

"Following the spread of Covid-19, risky asset and commodity prices have fallen sharply, and government bond yields reached all-time lows, consistent with a marked deterioration in risk appetite and in the outlooks for global and U.K. growth," the BOE said in a statement, adding that "indicators of financial market uncertainty have reached extreme levels."

Equity markets saw a major sell-off on Monday on the back of an emergency lockdown in Italy and amid fears of a price war among oil-exporting nations. 

Sterling fell immediately after the BOE's decision, to $1.289 from $1.293, but quickly erased those losses. Meanwhile, the FTSE 100 opened in the black, trading around 1.5% higher.

Speaking at a press conference, Governor Mark Carney said that the coronavirus is a different form of shock than the crisis of 2008. "The financial system was the core of the problem ... there is no reason for this shock to turn into the experience of 2008, if we handle it well."

A 'mistake'

Data released last month showed that the U.K. economy stagnated in the last part of 2019. The U.K. struggled with some political uncertainty at the end of the year. The country has also been embroiled in economic uncertainty since its decision to leave the European Union in 2016. 

"If we are now trying to encourage people to stay at home and not travel, what on Earth is a rate cut supposed to do?," Jim O'Neill, chair at U.K. thinktank Chatham House, told CNBC's "Squawk Box Europe" Wednesday. 

"The rate cut part strikes me as a mistake and too soon because they might need these bullets if demand does get a lot weaker," O'Neill, who coined the term BRIC (the acronym that stands for the emerging market economies of Brazil, Russia, India, and China) also said.

The rate cut comes as Carney is due to end his mandate at the bank in the next couple of days. The emergency move also brings rates back down to the level seen immediately following the Brexit vote.

David Owen, chief European economist at Jefferies, said in an email Wednesday that it was highly unusual for the BOE to move between meetings. "(It) didn't even happen in the financial crisis after the stock market had crashed," he said.

Fiscal stimulus too?

The decision from the Bank of England also comes just a few hours before the country's finance chief is due to deliver new budget plans. Rishi Sunak is expected to announce new fiscal stimulus to tackle the impact of virus.

Karen Ward, chief market strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management, said in an email: "We believe targeted fiscal measures would prove more effective (than rate cuts).

"In short, interest rate cuts will help, so long as they are playing the supporting act to pro-active government stimulus," Ward added in an email.

The first budget plan under the leadership of Prime Minister Boris Johnson is expected to increase public spending, in particular on infrastructure and health services. Some analysts are also expecting tax cuts and an inevitable deviation from fiscal consolidation.

The budget will focus "on emergency policy measures to deal with the growing risks from covid-19," Kallum Pickering, U.K. economist at Berenberg bank, said Monday.

"If there was ever a time to act boldly with fiscal policy in order to keep a fundamentally healthy economy afloat through a temporary shock, then this is it," he added.

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2020-03-11 10:07:22Z
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Saudi Arabia to Boost Oil Output Even Further - The Wall Street Journal

Saudi Aramco said it had received directions to boost output to 13 million barrels a day.

Photo: maxim shemetov/Reuters

DUBAI—Saudi Arabia fired another salvo in its oil-market war with Russia on Wednesday, unveiling plans to boost its oil-production capacity to a record 13 million barrels a day.

The capacity increase comes after the kingdom instigated a price war with Russia by signaling its intentions to boost production and slash prices.

Russia responded to that pledge Tuesday, saying it would pump to the tilt.

The acrimony between two of the world’s top oil producers follows a meeting Vienna last week in which Russia rejected a Saudi-backed plan to cut crude output in response to dwindling demand in China.

State oil giant Saudi Aramco said Wednesday it had received a directive from the kingdom’s energy ministry to raise its output capacity to 13 million barrels a day, from 12 million barrels a day. Aramco didn’t say when the capacity increase would take place.

On Wednesday, the Brent oil price was down 1.4% to $36.37 a barrel while the West Texas Intermediate was also down 1.7% to $33.8 a barrel. Aramco’s share price was down 0.32% to 31.4% on Wednesday and has fallen 4.8% since last Thursday afternoon when it became clear Saudi attempts to convince Russia to agree to proposed cuts wouldn’t work.

Aramco had already said Tuesday it would raise its crude supply to 12.3 million barrels a day in starting April 1, only days after it cut most of its official selling prices and pledge to boost output triggering Monday’s oil-price crash when crude lost a fifth of its value.

Experts have previously questioned how much production the kingdom could sustain after the country’s largest oil-processing facility and an oil field was attacked by drones and missiles in September.

Write to Benoit Faucon at benoit.faucon@wsj.com and Summer Said at summer.said@wsj.com

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2020-03-11 09:08:43Z
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