Kamis, 20 Februari 2020

Dow futures slip as coronavirus death toll outside of China rises - MarketWatch

Stocks opened lower Thursday, retreating after the S&P 500 index and the Nasdaq booked all-time closing highs in the previous session.

Although markets have been heartened by daily reports of a slowing rate of the spread of COVID-19, the infectious disease that originated in Wuhan last year, deaths and cases of the disease outside of China may be sparking some anxiety.

How are benchmarks performing?

The Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, -0.07%   opened 43 points, or 0.2%, lower, while the S&P SPX, -0.03%   lost about 4 points to open 0.1% lower, near 3,381. The Nasdaq Composite COMP, -0.05%   was down about 18 points, 0.2%, at the open, near 9,799.

On Wednesday, the Dow advanced 115.84 points, or 0.4%, to 29,348.03. The S&P 500 rose 15.86 points, or 0.5%, to end at 3,386.15, marking a record finish. The Nasdaq Composite added 84.44 points, or 0.9%, to end the session at a record at 9,817.18, its second all-time closing high in a row.

What’s driving the market?

Some analysts attributed the lack of buying conviction early Thursday to high valuations after the most recent round of records for the benchmark U.S. indexes and news of deaths globally from the spread of the coronavirus from China.

A report from South Korea’s Yonhap News Agency said COVID-19 had claimed its first life and the mayor of the South Korean city of Daegu urged its 2.5 million people to refrain from going outside, according to the Associated Press. Reports indicate that cases of COVID-19 in South Korea have more than doubled to 104 in a day, with 35 additional cases cropping up in Daegu on Thursday. Japan also reported that two elderly passengers from a quarantined ship that had been hospitalized due to infectious disease have died, according to the country’s health ministry.

China’s central bank cut its benchmark lending rate on Thursday, as widely expected, in a move to lower financing costs for businesses. The corona virus epidemic has disrupted global supply chains and factory activity in China. The benchmark one-year loan prime rate was cut by 10 basis points, and the five-year loan prime rate by 5 basis points. The disease from coronavirus has infected nearly 75,000, and claimed more than 2,100 lives in China, according to the country’s National Health Commission.

Goldman Sachs’ chief global equity strategist Peter Oppenheimer said that the chances for a correction or pullback in U.S. stocks were rising due to the spread of the contagion out of Asia. “In the nearer term…we believe the greater risk is that the impact of the coronavirus on earnings may well be underestimated in current stock prices, suggesting that the risks of a correction are high,” the strategist said.

Still, investors may be willing to continue pushing stocks to new heights on hope for easy-money policies from the Federal Reserve and central banks globally.

“We think today’s pre- market softness is technical and is not likely to derail another mixed to positive session,” said Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at Spartan Capital Securities in a Thursday research note.

A pair of early-morning reports showed resilience in the U.S. economy. The number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits ticked up marginally in the most recent week but still hovered near multi-year lows. A gauge of manufacturing activity in the mid-Atlantic area surged to a two-year high in February. The new orders component of the Philadelphia Fed’s survey was at its highest since May 2018.

Read: Here’s the segment of the economy that may benefit from fears of coronavirus, analysts say

Which stocks are in focus?

Morgan Stanley MS, -4.07% is set to buy E-TRADE Financial Corp. ETFC, +23.86%  in an all-stock deal valued at $13 billion, according to the Wall Street Journal. Shares of E-Trade surged 25%, while those for Morgan Stanley fell nearly 4%.

Shares of L Brands Inc. LB, -0.78%  were down nearly 10% after announcing it is sellingVictoria’s Secret to private equity.

Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc. SPCE, +4.17%   shares rocketed higher, extending its 8-day win streak.

Shares of Zillow Group Inc. Z, +16.04%   jumped 16% after a set of upgrades following a fourth-quarter earnings call late Wednesday.

ViaconCBS Inc. VIAC, -18.28%   shares tumbled after the company’s fourth-quarter results missed analyst expectations.

Six Flags Entertainment Corp. SIX, -15.57%  shares lost about one-fifth of their value after the opening bell after the theme-park operator cuts its dividend.

How are other assets performing?

The price of a barrel of West Texas Intermediate crude for March delivery CLH20, +1.16% rose 1.3% to $53.97 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

Gold for April delivery GCJ20, +0.51% was on pace for a sixth straight gain, rising 0.4% to trade at $1,618 an ounce, extending its climb above the psychologically important level at $1,600.

The U.S. dollar DXY, +0.01% was up fractionally against a basket of rival currencies at 99.73.

The benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury note TMUBMUSD10Y, -1.85% was down 2.8 basis points at 1.54% even as 30-year bonds fell closer to an all-time low. Bond yields fall when prices rise.

In Europe, the Stoxx Europe 600 SXXP, -0.51% traded 0.5% lower, while the FTSE 100 UKX, +0.10% lost 1.1%.

Trade was mixed in Asia overnight. The China CSI 300 000300, +2.30%  rose 2.3%, Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index HSI, -0.17% fell 0.2%, while the Shanghai Composite SHCOMP, +1.84% advanced 1.8%. Japan’s Nikkei NIK, +0.34% advanced 0.3%, while South Korea’s Kospi 180721, -0.67% sank 0.7%.

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2020-02-20 13:55:00Z
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Virgin Galactic 'overdue' for a correction, Morgan Stanley says after 310% rally in 3 months - CNBC

Virgin Galactic's monster stock rally in the past few months has taken even bullish Morgan Stanley by surprise, with shares of the company nearing $40.

"A modest correction is overdue, and frankly, healthy, in our opinion," Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas said in a note to investors titled "even spaceships must return to Earth."

Despite Morgan Stanley's warning, Virgin Galactic rose more than 2% in premarket trading.

The space tourism's stock has climbed 310% in the past three months. Its rally accelerated recently, notching gains across eight consecutive days of trading.

Virgin Galactic has become Wall Street's favorite speculative play, with shares blowing past the price targets of all three firms that recommend buying the stock. Trading platforms like Fidelity and SoFi told CNBC that Virgin Galactic has become the most popular stock among retail investors, jumping past even Apple and Tesla.

Virgin Galactic "deserves a bit of a breather here," Jonas said, adding that it is difficult "to identify significant thesis changing/accelerating events since the time of our initiation in early December of 2019."

"The stock is trading 70% above our $22 price target with around 60% upside to our $60 bull case," Jonas said.

'Why not raise capital now?'

Morgan Stanley also said some Virgin Galactic shareholders are advocating for the company to raise capital after the stock's run up. Jonas think it will be "a logical question" for investors to ask during the company's fourth-quarter earnings on Tuesday, saying: "Why not raise capital now?"

"While the company has sufficient levels of liquidity to meet the needs of launching its commercial service, investors may nonetheless ask, or even encourage, management to consider adding to the coffers, given unpredictable market conditions," Jonas said.

He also pointed out that a capital raise would also help its development of hypersonic long-distance travel capabilities, which Jonas estimated is about a decade away. Virgin Galactic has said it wants to expand its business into hypersonic air travel, using what it learns from flying people to the edge of space to build vehicles possible of travelling at multiple times the speed of sound.

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2020-02-20 13:13:00Z
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L Brands confirms Les Wexner to step down as CEO after closing of Victoria's Secret sale - 10TV

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  1. L Brands confirms Les Wexner to step down as CEO after closing of Victoria's Secret sale  10TV
  2. Victoria's Secret to Go Private at $1.1 Billion Valuation  The Wall Street Journal
  3. Wexner Is Expected to Step Down as Victoria’s Secret Goes Private  The New York Times
  4. L Brands sells majority stake in Victoria's Secret, CEO Wexner to step down  Reuters
  5. Coronavirus, Dow Futures, Bloomberg, Victoria's Secret, ViacomCBS - 5 Things You Must Know Thursday  TheStreet
  6. View Full Coverage on Google News

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2020-02-20 13:22:24Z
52780622054449

Goldman Sachs warns of stock market correction - CNN

Stocks keep reaching record highs. Goldman Sachs is worried that leaves investors vulnerable to surprises.
The investment bank told clients this week that a near-term correction, in which the market slides at least 10% from a recent peak, "is looking much more probable."
The thinking: Equity markets look "increasingly exposed" to disappointing earnings growth due to the new coronavirus outbreak, Goldman warns.
Remember: The number of companies that have lowered their guidance on profits for the first quarter is still in line with past years. But Apple's surprise update this week that it wouldn't hit its revenue target has put investors on edge.
Goldman Sachs notes that the global economy is expected to keep growing, and the United States is, too, despite the country already having experienced its longest economic expansion in 150 years. That creates a supportive environment for stocks. But the bank is concerned that earnings expectations could still be too rosy, especially given the exposure of global companies to the Chinese economy.
Apple (AAPL), it observes, has been "an important driver" of better-than-expected earnings results. Big Tech companies — Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft and Google — beat earnings expectations by 20% on average last quarter, compared with 4% for the average S&P 500 company.
"Any weakness to these and other companies would likely push earnings estimates lower," wrote Peter Oppenheimer, the firm's chief global equity strategist.
Additionally, depressed bond yields have made stocks look more attractive by comparison. Oppenheimer points to Germany's DAX, which has also hit an all-time high as the yield on the country's benchmark 10-year bond remains in negative territory. That raises the stakes for corporate earnings as well, he argues.

Victoria's Secret is going private at $1.1 billion valuation

L Brands is closing in on a deal to sell control of Victoria's Secret to a private equity firm, the Wall Street Journal reports.
Sycamore Partners is expected to buy 55% of the brand and take the struggling business private. The deal, which could be announced as soon as Thursday, values Victoria's Secret at about $1.1 billion. L Brands, which would be reduced to running Bath & Body Works, is set to control 45% of the separate company.
Leadership shakeup: The Journal reports that Leslie Wexner, the billionaire who built L Brands into a retail behemoth, will step down as CEO and chairman, but is expected to remain on the board and keep stakes in both companies. Wexner has come under heavy scrutiny for his close ties to Jeffrey Epstein, who died in prison last summer while awaiting trial on sex trafficking charges.
Under pressure: Victoria's Secret has struggled with falling sales and competition from upstart lingerie brands. The company said in November that it was canceling its annual fashion show amid growing claims that it was out of touch. Last year, an activist investor built up a stake in the company and pushed for it to spin-off the more successful Bath & Body Works.
Shares of L Brands (LB) fell more than 10% in premarket trading. The valuation is a knock for a company that runs hundreds of Victoria's Secret and PINK brand stores globally, per its last annual report. They brought in more than $7 billion in sales in 2018.

Gold prices hit a nearly 7-year high

Stock records and the highest price for gold in nearly seven years? You read that correctly.
Even as market bulls drove the S&P 500 and Nasdaq to fresh records on Wednesday, gold prices passed $1,610 per ounce. The spike indicates that the spread of the novel coronavirus is encouraging investors to pile into safe haven assets, even as many decide to keep making riskier bets.
UBS analysts Wayne Gordon and Giovanni Staunovo think that gold could hit $1,650 per ounce or higher in the coming weeks. Their argument: First quarter data will "look ugly before it gets better."
"With US equity valuations elevated, any further upsets could see another bout of volatility, a further rally in government bonds and a higher gold price," they said in a recent note to clients.
Domino's Pizza (DMPZF) and ViacomCBS (VIACA) report results before US markets open. Dropbox (DBX) and Zscaler (ZS) follow after the close.
Also today:
  • The US Energy Information Administration releases weekly crude oil inventories at 11 a.m. ET.
  • The European Central Bank also releases minutes from its January meeting.
Coming tomorrow: US existing home sales for January.

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2020-02-20 12:22:00Z
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Reports: Wexner expected to step down as CEO of L Brands, Victoria's Secret sale could be announced Thursday - 10TV

[unable to retrieve full-text content]

  1. Reports: Wexner expected to step down as CEO of L Brands, Victoria's Secret sale could be announced Thursday  10TV
  2. Victoria's Secret to Go Private at $1.1 Billion Valuation  The Wall Street Journal
  3. Wexner Is Expected to Step Down as Victoria’s Secret Goes Private  The New York Times
  4. Coronavirus, Dow Futures, Bloomberg, Victoria's Secret, ViacomCBS - 5 Things You Must Know Thursday  TheStreet
  5. Victoria’s Secret to Be Sold at $1.1 Billion Valuation, WSJ Says  Yahoo Finance
  6. View Full Coverage on Google News

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2020-02-20 10:55:29Z
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Morgan Stanley Is Buying E*Trade, Betting on Littler Customers - The Wall Street Journal

Low interest rates have cut into the money E*Trade makes by investing the cash its customers leave in their accounts.

Photo: Andrew Harrer/Bloomberg News

Morgan Stanley MS 1.42% is buying E*Trade Financial Corp. ETFC 2.60% in a $13 billion deal that will reshape the storied investment bank and firmly stake its future on managing money for regular people.

The all-stock takeover, set to be announced Thursday, will combine a Wall Street firm in the late innings of a decadelong turnaround with a discount broker built on the backs of dot-com day traders. It is the biggest takeover by a giant U.S. bank since the 2008 crisis.

E*Trade ETFC 2.60% brings five million retail customers, their $360 billion in assets and an online bank with cheap deposits that Morgan Stanley can funnel into loans. Its CEO, Michael Pizzi, is coming along to run the e-brokerage business, which will keep its brand, its handful of retail storefronts and its buzzy and well-funded ad campaigns, Morgan Stanley Chief Executive James Gorman said.

Photo: Simon Dawson/Bloomberg News

‘We’ll take on Schwab. We’ll take on Fidelity.’

—James Gorman, Morgan Stanley CEO

E*Trade’s future has been uncertain since November, when its two main competitors, Charles Schwab Corp. and TD Ameritrade Holding Corp., announced their own merger. Schwab had thrown an elbow weeks before by cutting the trading fees it charges customers to zero. The move sent E*Trade shares tumbling and raised questions about whether the brokerage, dwarfed by a merged competitor, could survive alone.

Morgan Stanley already has 15,500 human advisers catering to millionaires and last year rolled out an online-only tool for customers with less money and less-complicated financial lives. E*Trade will slot into that wealth-management arm, which will have more than eight million users and $3.1 trillion in client money once the deal closes.

“We’ll take on Schwab. We’ll take on Fidelity,” Mr. Gorman, now in his 10th year as CEO, said in an interview. “This isn’t about legacy-building; it’s about getting [Morgan Stanley] ready for prime time.”

E*Trade became a household name in the late 1990s with its dot-com vibe and splashy Super Bowl commercials. Falling commissions have hurt its brokerage arm and low interest rates have cut into the money it makes by investing the idle cash its customers leave in their accounts.

Its crown jewel is a comparatively low-profile business: managing the stock that employees at hundreds of companies receive as part of their pay. Those shares are typically locked up for a few years and when they become available, E*Trade aims to move those employees into brokerage accounts.

Morgan Stanley has a competing business, which it expanded a year ago by acquiring Solium, a privately held specialist in the space. After buying E*Trade, Morgan Stanley would have more than 4,000 corporate customers and $580 billion of stock held on behalf of their employees who might, it hopes, one day be rich.

The takeover, code-named Project Eagle, is the largest deal by a major Wall Street player since the crisis, when regulators arranged hasty marriages in a bid to shore up the financial system. Few have been willing to test the waters in Washington since then.

That the test balloon comes from Morgan Stanley, the banking industry’s weakling during the 2008 crisis and a problem child for years afterward, is a testament to its reinvention under Mr. Gorman. The 61-year-old has cut riskier trading operations and grown steadier businesses like lending and wealth management. Revenue hit a record $41 billion last year.

“We’re strong now, and I believe you move from a position of strength,” Mr. Gorman said.

He has sounded more acquisitive in recent months and floated a trial balloon with regulators and investors by buying Solium last year for $900 million. Morgan Stanley shares have gained 40% since September, giving him a more richly valued currency to shop with.

Mr. Gorman said he has been eyeing E*Trade since 2002, when he was an executive at Merrill Lynch. He reached out again in 2007, when he was tasked with fixing Morgan Stanley’s brokerage arm, but negotiations wavered as E*Trade started to feel tremors of the coming meltdown in its portfolio of home-equity loans.

Talks this time around began in late December, when a two-hour conversation between Messrs. Gorman and Pizzi convinced both men of the deal’s merits. Mr. Gorman said the tumult kicked off by Schwab made E*Trade “more open” to a deal but said he wasn’t low-balling: The deal price of $58.74 a share, all in Morgan Stanley stock, is 34% higher than E*Trade’s price before Schwab announced its fee cut.

Morgan Stanley expects to recoup that premium through $400 million of cost cuts and additional savings of $150 million from using E*Trade’s low-cost deposits to replace more expensive funding. Mr. Gorman said he also sees an opportunity to take E*Trade international, where his firm has no wealth-management presence.

All of Wall Street is on the hunt for more reliable sources of revenue after postcrisis regulations and a long period of eerie calm in the markets crimped trading. JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Bank of America Corp. are getting bigger in payments, while Morgan Stanley’s closest peer and fierce rival, Goldman Sachs Group Inc., is building an online retail bank.

Mr. Gorman is proving himself to be one of the savvier corporate deal makers. He pried wealth manager Smith Barney away for a song from a weakened Citigroup Inc. in the wake of the crisis. Here he seized on the brokerage price war to nab E*Trade.

Morgan Stanley has also been scouring takeover targets in asset management, where it is smaller and nichier than peers, people familiar with the matter have said.

The E*Trade acquisition is expected to close in the fourth quarter.

Write to Liz Hoffman at liz.hoffman@wsj.com

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2020-02-20 12:24:00Z
CAIiEK28gxtr649HtbtZTsZkOFgqFwgEKg8IACoHCAow1tzJATDnyxUw54IY

A shipping titan, a global airline, and Apple's main iPhone supplier just sounded the alarm on coronavirus - Business Insider

  • AP Moller-Maersk, Air France-KLM, and Foxconn issued dire warnings about Wuhan coronavirus on Thursday.
  • Shipping giant Maersk said the epidemic has „significantly lowered visibility“ and anticipates a 4% drop in profits this year.
  • Global airline Air-France KLM expects the outbreak to slash its operating profits by up to $216 million between February and April.
  • Foxconn, Apple’s main iPhone supplier, predicts the virus will hit its annual revenues.
  • Visit Business Insider’s homepage for more stories.

A shipping titan, a global airline, and Apple’s main iPhone supplier are all sounding the alarm on Wuhan coronavirus.

AP Moller-Maersk, the world’s largest container-shipping group, warned in its fourth-quarter earnings report that the rampaging epidemic has „significantly lowered visibility“ for its business this year. CEO Søren Skou bemoaned a „very, very weak February and weak March“ in a Financial Times interview, and warned profits would likely shrink by 4% year-on-year to $5.5 billion this year.

Air France-KLM, which transported more than 100 million passengers in 2018, warned in its full-year earnings report that the outbreak will fuel a first-quarter revenue decline. The Franco-Dutch carrier also expects the health crisis to lower its operating profits between February and April by the euro equivalent of $162 million to $216 million.

Foxconn, the Taiwanese components manufacturer, warned in a statement that Wuhan coronavirus will reduce its full-year revenue. The group said it would „cautiously“ restart production at its main factories in China, and hopes to reach 50% of normal output by the end of February, Reuters reported.

The raft of warnings comes after the virus forced Apple to scrap its revenue guidance for this quarter. The world’s most valuable public company – its market capitalization exceeds $1.4 trillion – blamed a sluggish ramp-up of production in China, store closures, and weak customer traffic.

Wuhan coronavirus – which causes a disease known as COVID-19 – has infected more than 75,000 people, killed at least 2,100, and spread to upwards of 25 countries. It has disrupted Chinese manufacturing and commerce, endangered economic growth, and forced foreign companies including Adidas, Starbucks, and Disney to temporarily shut some or all of their operations in the region.

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2020-02-20 10:34:42Z
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