Selasa, 04 Februari 2020

Tesla is jumping yet again, soaring 14% in early trading following a 19% surge on Monday - CNBC

GP: Elon Musk, chief executive officer of Tesla Inc., speaks during an event at the site of the company's manufacturing facility in Shanghai, China, on Monday, Jan. 7, 2019.

Qilai Shen | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Tesla jumped again on Tuesday, set to open at a new record high as major shareholder Ron Baron forecast the company will top $1 trillion in revenue in a decade and as investors who bet against the stock scrambled to catch up.

"I just can't believe this freaking stock. It's insane," Roth Capital analyst Craig Irwin said on CNBC's "Squawk Box." "This is a big separation from those of us who like to pull out the calculators and look at reality."

The more than 14% surge comes after Tesla on Monday climbed 19.9%, its biggest one-day gain in six years. Tesla's stock roared after Argus Research raised its price target to a new Wall Street high of $808 a share. But even Argus' price target is below where the stock is set to open on Tuesday.

The stock briefly traded above even $900 a share in premarket.

Tesla shares are up more than 80% this year through Monday's close, fueled by analysts raising price targets to catch up to the stock and short-covering by investors betting against the shares. Analysts still can't keep up with the run. The average 12-month price target of analysts is $493, up from $334 in December, according to FactSet. That new target is more than 40% below where the stock is trading in premarket trading Tuesday.

At the same time, short-sellers are scrambling with investors betting against the stock down more than $8 billion since the beginning of the year, according to S3 Partners. Since Tesla's stock was under $200 a share in June, the firm said short sellers have covered $12.6 billion worth of stock. That's a factor that is likely fueling Tesla's current rally: If enough short sellers buy in tandem, it can create higher demand and itself drive the equity price even higher, a phenomenon also known as "a short squeeze."

Two years ago Tesla CEO Elon Musk promised the "short burn of the century" was coming soon, saying in a tweet that "flamethrowers should arrive just in time." Within an hour of Monday's close, Musk tweeted three flame emojis.

 

Ron Baron: Nowhere near the end

Billionaire investor Ron Baron believes Tesla will hit $1 trillion in revenue in 10 years and continue to grow from there.

Baron's investment firm holds nearly 1.63 million Tesla shares – worth more than $1 billion at current levels.

"It's nowhere near ended at that point and time," Baron said on CNBC. "There's a lot of growth opportunities from that point going forward."

Baron's seemingly wild optimism has become much less outlandish after the stock's rally over the past six months. He is among a group of money managers who have given massive forecasts for Tesla before, including Ark Investment Management founder Catherine Wood. Last month, Wood told CNBC that she believes Tesla could be worth more than $6,000 per share in the next five years – upping her prediction of $4,000 a share that she made two years prior.

'Watch out Tesla believers'

But some Wall Street analysts are not so sure Tesla's gains will last, and even political activist Ralph Nader chimed in on Twitter: "Watch out Tesla believers."

"When the stock market bubble implodes, it will have been started by the surge in @Tesla shares beyond speculative zeal," Nader said.

– CNBC's John Melloy contributed to this report.

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2020-02-04 12:27:00Z
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Why hedge fund manager Dan Loeb is staying ‘wary’ of this too-perfect market - MarketWatch

It has been a wild night in Iowa, and the coronavirus death toll is not slowing.

But stock markets are ready to rip higher, led by Chinese equities, as optimism over that big cash injection by the People’s Bank of China and upbeat U.S. data on Monday are carrying over.

Neil Wilson, Markets.com’s chief market analyst, says if markets get through the rest of the week without a big escalation in Europe or U.S. coronavirus cases, then stocks will be in fighting mode — with the Dow DJIA, +0.51%  reaching for 29,000 and the S&P 500 SPX, +0.73%  aiming at 3,300.

“We are entering a key phase of the outbreak now in terms of how we measure the economic damage and whether it produces a material reduction in equity valuations,” Wilson tells clients.

Meanwhile, politics is grabbing attention this morning as Iowa’s Democratic presidential caucuses — the party’s first nominating contest for the 2020 election — turned into a hot mess after problems with a mobile app.

Onto our call of the day, which checks in with what’s on the worry list at hedge fund Third Point LLC and manager Dan Loeb from the recently released fourth-quarter newsletter.

Loeb lays out what could change the bullish mood for stocks, which has been driven by friendly monetary conditions and a benign economic backdrop.

“We are wary of many factors that can possibly upset the current Goldilocks environment, chief among them the further spread of the coronavirus, derailment of further Chinese trade negotiations, a political upset from the far left in the U.S. Presidential election, or further escalation of tensions in the Middle East,” Loeb says.

The hedge fund has one more worry: “The Fed has said it would be patiently waiting for inflation to overshoot, which makes the current case for equities compelling, but a sudden turn in inflation could lead to a backup in rates and cause market pain.”

As for that potential political upset, a far-left candidate likely refers to Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren or Vermont’s Bernie Sanders, who has been leading in the polls. Some analysts have said investors aren’t thinking enough about a possible Sanders win.

Read Third Point’s full thoughts here.

The market

Dow DJIA, +0.51%, S&P SPX, +0.73%  and Nasdaq COMP, +1.34% futures are climbing, alongside European stocks SXXP, +1.32% and oil prices CL00, +1.86%. It was also solid green across Asia, with a 2.6% gain for Chinese stocks 000300, +2.64%.

That is as China’s coronavirus cases topped 20,000, with 427 dead and Hong Kong reporting its first death as the country shut most of its borders and healthcare workers went on strike.

The chart

Wynn Resorts WYNN, +1.92%  is tumbling in premarket. That is after officials in Macau, known as the Las Vegas of Asia, reportedly told casinos to shut for two weeks to contain the spread of coronavirus.

The buzz

Shares of Google parent Alphabet GOOGL, +3.48% GOOG, +3.61%  are down after revenue disappointed. The company also broke out cloud and YouTube revenue.

Earnings are rolling in from household products maker Clorox CLX, -0.93%, energy group ConocoPhillips COP, -0.42%  and cruise operator Royal Caribbean RCL, -0.54%. After the close, we’ll hear from biotech Gilead Sciences GILD, +5.00%, Ford Motor F, +1.81% F, +1.81%, Disney DIS, +2.18%, Snapchat parent Snap SNAP, -0.82%  and fast-food chain Chipotle CMG, +0.07%.

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2020-02-04 11:44:00Z
CAIiEIt_kO3aF3PUajFUxBwDzWYqGAgEKg8IACoHCAowjujJATDXzBUwmJS0AQ

Tesla investor Ron Baron sees $1 trillion in revenue in 10 years — and that won't be the end - CNBC

Billionaire investor Ron Baron believes Tesla has the potential to hit $1 trillion in revenue in 10 years and continue to grow from there.

"It's nowhere near ended at that point and time," he said Tuesday morning on "Squawk Box." "There's a lot of growth opportunities from that point going forward."

Baron, whose eponymous investment firm holds nearly 1.63 million Tesla shares, said Baron Capital will not sell a single share of company. Tesla's recent run, he said, is "just the beginning" as he believes the company "could be one of the largest companies in the whole world."

As of Monday's close, Baron's Tesla stake was worth $1.3 billion. He said he accumulated the Tesla shares at an average cost of $219 each.

Tesla's stock has climbed nearly 220% in the past six months, including roughly 86.5% this year. The company's market cap is now more than $140 billion -- nearly triple that of General Motors but below Toyota Motor at roughly $227 billion.

The stock closed up 19.9% on Monday at a record high $780 per share. Shares were up more than 12% in pre-market trading on Tuesday to about $880 per share. Monday marked the best day for Tesla since May 2013, when the company reported its first quarterly profit and Consumer Reports gave the Model S a "near perfect" score.

Despite the volatility of the stock and "some self-inflicted wounds" by Tesla CEO Elon Musk, Baron on Tuesday said his faith in the company "was never shaken."

Investors betting against Tesla's stock have lost more than $8 billion since the beginning of the year, according to data from S3 Partners, including nearly $2.5 billion in losses on Monday's surge alone.

In 2018, Baron made headlines by saying Tesla could generate $1 trillion in revenue by 2030. Tesla's revenue was $21.5 billion in 2018, up from $11.8 billion a year earlier. It reported revenue last week of $24.6 billion in 2019.

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2020-02-04 12:12:00Z
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U.S. stock futures jump — Jim Cramer cites Democratic disarray and imminent impeachment end - MarketWatch

US stock futures jump Jim Cramer cites Democratic disarray and imminent impeachment end - MarketWatch

Market Snapshot

By Steve Goldstein

Published: Feb 4, 2020 4:20 am ET

U.S. stock futures and an array of risky assets climbed on Tuesday morning, reflecting possible optimism toward the prospect of a re-election of President Donald Trump.

Technology problems and reporting inconsistencies kept Iowa Democratic Party officials from releasing results from Monday’s caucus. Sen. Bernie Sanders, the Vermont independent, released figures showing he was in front, while the former mayor of South Bend, Ind., Pete Buttigieg, said “by all indications, we are going on to New Hampshire victorious.”

Trump meanwhile is likely to be cleared by the Senate on Wednesday.

Jim Cramer, the “Mad Money” host, tweeted that the political situation was what was driving stock futures higher.

Futures on the S&P 500 ES00+1.05%  climbed 1% to 3,278.70, and Dow industrials YM00+1.06%  futures rose 276 points.

Commodities also surged. Oil futures CL  rose by over $1, with light sweet crude trading over $51 a barrel. Copper futures HG00+2.03%  climbed by nearly 3%.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA+0.51%   closed 143 points higher on Monday, in its best one-day performance since Jan. 28. Manufacturing data came in surprisingly strong.

See original version of this story

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2020-02-04 09:20:00Z
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Sony Film Unit Posts $51M Quarterly Profit, Down 50 Percent - Hollywood Reporter

Overall revenue at Sony Corp. was up 3 percent at $22.6 billion, while operating profit was down 20 percent at $2.76 billion. Net profit for the October-to-December quarter was down 46 percent to $2.1 billion.

Sony's film unit recorded a $51 million (6.2 billion yen) profit for the October-to-December quarter, down from $107 million in the same quarter the previous year.

Sales for the division were down 12 percent to $2.17 billion.

Jumanji: The Next Level, which earned more than $750 million globally, contributed to profits, though its December release dates means around a third of that will be included in the current quarter's figures. Charlie's Angels severely underperformed, taking just over $70 million at the global box office, hitting the division's bottom line.

The surprise success of Venom, which took more than $855 million worldwide, boosted results for the same period the previous year.

For television, higher licensing revenue for season 3 of The Crown was offset by an increase in production costs for new U.S. network shows. 

Sony left its full-year profit forecast at the pictures division unchanged at ¥70 billion, $643 million at current exchange rates. 

Overall revenue at Sony Corp. was up 3 percent at $22.6 billion, while operating profit was down 20 percent at $2.76 billion. Net profit for the October-to-December quarter was down 46 percent to $2.1 billion.

Foreign exchange rates negatively impacted most segments. 

PlayStation 4 console sales dropped from 8.1 million in the same quarter in 2018 to 6.1 million, while software sales fell slightly to 81 million units. This dragged down sales at the game division by 20 percent to $5.8 billion and profits down to $491 million.  

Sales at the music division were up slightly at $2 billion, but profit fell sharply due to the gain in the same period of the previous year from the consolidation of its stake in EMI Music Publishing. Best selling artists included Harry Styles, TOOL and Celine Dion.

The electronics division saw a fall in sales of 9 percent to $5.97 billion on lower television and mobile phone sales, but a growth in profit to $74 million thanks to lower costs at its mobile phone operations. 

The imaging and sensor business, which makes semiconductors for smartphones and other devices, continued to be a bright spot for Sony, registering sales up 29 percent to $2.7 billion and profits up sharply to $690 million.

Activist investor Daniel Loeb is once again putting pressure on Sony Corp. to  spin off its entertainment and semiconductor businesses, despite the rise in Sony's share price over the last year.

Sony stock was up slightly at ¥7,700 ($70.82) in Tokyo trading late on Tuesday afternoon, before the earnings announcement. It is up more than 50 percent on this time last year. 

   

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2020-02-04 06:12:21Z
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Senin, 03 Februari 2020

Dow Jones Recovers Despite Coronavirus Spread; China Death Toll Passes SARS - Investor's Business Daily

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  1. Dow Jones Recovers Despite Coronavirus Spread; China Death Toll Passes SARS  Investor's Business Daily
  2. Chinese Stocks Tanked After Markets Reopen. Why U.S. Stocks Are Rising.  Barron's
  3. Stocks rebound from Friday's rout, but coronavirus fears linger  CNBC
  4. Chinese stocks plunge on fears of coronavirus spread  ARIRANG NEWS
  5. Dow Jones Futures: Coronavirus Cases Swell, Pressuring Stock Market Rally, Chinese Stocks; Google Earnings Due  Investor's Business Daily
  6. View full coverage on Google News

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2020-02-03 17:26:00Z
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Stock market news live: U.S. stocks claw back losses as coronavirus routs China markets; Tesla rockets higher - Yahoo Finance

U.S. stocks recovered some losses after a sell-off Friday that sent the Dow lower by 600 points. Equities in China, however, tumbled after an extended Lunar New Year holiday.

11:20 a.m. ET: UBS sees China’s economic growth decelerating in 2020 as coronavirus impact spreads

China’s economic growth could come in below 5% in 2020 if the impacts of the coronavirus extend into the second quarter this year, according to UBS economists.

The UBS economists, led by Tao Wang, said consumption in China will likely be hit significantly, “especially in travel and tourism, hotel and catering, and transport” amid the coronavirus. “We think overall retail sales growth could weaken by 5 (percentage points) in Q1.”

Meanwhile, restrictions on transportation and factory closures could disrupt industrial production and exports, Wang added.

Quantifying the economic impact of the outbreak is extremely challenging at this stage. Assuming that the outbreak will be controlled in Q1 with few new cases thereafter, we estimate that Q1 GDP growth will drop to 3.8% y/y, while subsequent normalization of activities, release of pent-up demand and policy support should see growth rebounding in Q2-Q4. With this assumption, we downgrade China's 2020 GDP growth forecast to 5.4%. Risk to our forecast is biased on the downside. In the case the outbreak lasts well into Q2, GDP growth will likely fall <5% in 2020.

Prior to the outbreak, the Chinese government targeted 2020 GDP growth of around 6%, down from last year’s target of 6-6.5%. China’s 2019 GDP growth of 6.1% had been the slowest pace of expansion since 1990.

11:00 a.m. ET: Here’s who has the edge in the Chicken Sandwich Wars

FILE - This Nov. 25, 2019, file photo shows McDonald's sign above the fast food restaurant near downtown Los Angeles. The Labor Department issued a final rule Sunday, Jan. 12, 2020, that clarifies when a worker is employed by more than one company, an issue that affects franchise businesses such as McDonald's and firms that have outsourced services such as cleaning and maintenance. (AP Photo/Richard Vogel, File)

A jam-packed January news cycle distracted consumers from what really matters: Restaurant chains and the ongoing war for chicken sandwich supremacy. On a battlefield dominated by Chick-Fil-A and Restaurant Brands’ (QSR) Popeye’s, McDonald’s (MCD) has now entered the fray.

Two new data points published on Monday show who’s got the edge. Data analytics firm Placer.ai said that since firing the first salvo last summer, Popeye’s shows no immediate signs of slowing down:

On Friday, January 17th, visits rose 59.3% above the baseline for the period between January 1st, 2017 and January 20th, 2020. Analyzing that same period, every week in January has come in at least 20% or more above the baseline for weekly traffic.


Nationwide Popeye's Louisiana Kitchen traffic, amid chicken sandwich wars

Early reviews of McDonald’s new chicken sandwich have been lackluster, at best. But Bank of America expects the Golden Arches to mount a challenge to both CFA and Popeye’s eventually, even though the path to victory won’t be easy:

MCD must rebuff a now formidable national competitor in Chick-Fil-A following years of 6% unit and double digit comp growth...The challenge for McDonald's is matching its chicken focused competitors on taste and quality despite a broader menu that makes it impossible to divert as much attention to the platform.

MCD could try to match them on quality with store changes and equipment investments but we expect a national rollout that moves MCD closer on taste and then leverages supply chain and marketing advantages to undercut its peers on price.

BofA says that gradual improvements in product quality will boost the stock, which the firm rates a “Buy” with a $240 price target. MCD traded up nearly 1% on Monday around $216.

10:00 a.m. ET: U.S. manufacturing sector expands for the first time since July

Activity in the U.S. manufacturing sector expanded for the first time in six months in January, in a sign of life after domestic goods-producing industries had contracted for much of last year. 

The Institute for Supply Management’s purchasing mangers’ index registered at 50.9 in January, popping just above the level of 50 to indicate expansion. In December, the ISM’s PMI had been 47.8, and consensus economists had expected the PMI to rise to just 48.5 in January. 

“Global trade remains a cross-industry issue, but many respondents were positive for the first time in several months. Among the six big industry sectors, Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products remains the strongest, followed closely by Computer & Electronic Products. Petroleum & Coal Products is the weakest,” Timothy Fiore, chair of the ISM Business Survey Committee, said in a statement. “Overall, sentiment this month is moderately positive regarding near-term growth.” 

Employees and guests look on as President Donald Trump speaks at Dana Incorporated, an auto-manufacturing supplier, on January 30, 2020 in Warren, Michigan. (Photo by Brittany Greeson/Getty Images)

10:00 a.m. ET: U.S. markets bounce to session highs, shake off China’s rout

Major benchmarks are picking up steam, effectively shaking off the rout in Chinese stocks. While coronavirus fears remain in the driver’s seat — and are undermining global growth prospects — investors appear to be driven by U.S. fundamentals (which still remain strong) and bargain hunting.

Barely half an hour into Monday’s trading session, and the S&P 500 (^GSPC), Dow (^DJI) and Nasdaq (^IXIC) are all perched at session highs over 1%.

9:50 a.m. ET: Tesla keeps burning rubber

Wall Street has fallen back in love with Tesla (TSLA), which has been setting new records for the better part of two weeks. In early trading, the shares hit a new high above $709, up a whopping 9% on the session.

The rally picked up speed after the car marker posted Q4 earnings that broadly topped expectations, and has seen a steady increase in analyst upgrades — such as Oppenheimer, which last week rated Tesla as an “Outperform” (keep in mind the stock has already blown past its price target of $650.57). The dramatic move higher has also burned short-sellers, who S3 Partners estimated last week had lost over $4 billion.

9:34 a.m. ET: Stocks open higher after Friday’s coronavirus selloff

The three major U.S. stock indices opened higher Monday morning, pushing the S&P 500 back into positive territory for the year-to-date.

Shares of Nike (NKE) led advances in the Dow, after a pair of bullish recommendations from UBS and JPMorgan pushed the athletic-wear maker’s stock higher. The consumer discretionary, communication and health-care sectors led the S&P 500 higher.

Here were the main moves in markets, as of 9:34 a.m. ET:

  • S&P 500 (^GSPC): +0.55% or +17.71 points to 3,243.23

  • Dow (^DJI): +0.48% or +135.49 points to 28,391.52

  • Nasdaq (^IXIC): +0.67% or +61.75 points to 9,215.52

  • Crude oil (CL=F):  -$0.37 or -0.72% to $51.19 a barrel

  • Gold (GC=F): -$4.60 or -0.29% to $1,583.30 per ounce

9:21 a.m. ET: Oil prices stabilize after WSJ reports Saudi Arabia is mulling a production cut

West Texas intermediate and Brent crude oil prices hovered little changed Monday morning in New York after the Wall Street Journal reported that Saudi Arabia was considering a major, temporary oil production cut to put a floor on prices amid the coronavirus.

According to the report, Saudi Arabia is considering production cuts beyond the 1.7 million barrel-per-day reduction OPEC and its allies had agreed in December to enforce.

The coronavirus has sent prices for both commodities tumbling, as investors fear the outbreak’s impact on demand in China, the world’s largest oil importer. Prices of both West Texas intermediate and Brent are down about 15% for the year to date.

7:36 a.m. ET: Stock futures rise as coronavirus spreads further

U.S. stock futures rebounded slightly after posting sharp declines Friday, which had wiped away the S&P 500’s year to date gains.

In China, the Shanghai Composite tumbled more than 7% as investors furiously tried to price in fears over the coronavirus after an extended market shutdown for the Lunar New Year holiday. Prior to Monday, Chinese markets had been closed since January 23.

China’s National Health Commission said Monday that the coronavirus had claimed the lives of 361 individuals among more than 17,000 confirmed cases. There have been 151 coronavirus cases in 23 countries outside of China, according to the World Health Organization’s Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus.

Here were the main moves during the pre-market session, as of 7:36 a.m. ET:

  • S&P futures (ES=F): 3,237.00, up 13 points or 0.4%

  • Dow futures (YM=F): 28,293.00, up 97 points or 0.34%

  • Nasdaq futures (NQ=F): 9,037.5, up 39.75 points or 0.44%

  • Crude oil (CL=F): $51.69 per barrel, up $0.31 or 0.25%

  • Gold (GC=F): $1,584.00 per ounce, down $3.90 or 0.25%

A trader works at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York, U.S., January 31, 2020. REUTERS/Bryan R Smith

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2020-02-03 16:48:00Z
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