Rabu, 27 November 2019

U.S. third-quarter GDP growth revised up to 2.1% - Yahoo Finance

A container ship is shown at port in Long Beach, California

WASHINGTON, (Reuters) - U.S. economic growth picked up slightly in the third quarter, rather than slowing as initially reported, amid a stronger pace of inventory accumulation and a less steep decline in business investment.

Gross domestic product increased at a 2.1% annualized rate, the Commerce Department said in its second estimate of third-quarter GDP on Wednesday. That was up from the 1.9% pace estimated last month.

The economy grew at a 2.0% pace in the April-June period. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast third-quarter GDP growth would be unrevised at 1.9%.

When measured from the income side, the economy grew at a 2.4% rate in the last quarter. Gross domestic income (GDI) increased at a rate of 0.9% in the second quarter. The income side of the growth ledger accelerated despite a drop in profits.

After-tax profits without inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustment, which corresponds to S&P 500 profits, decreased $11.3 billion, or at a rate of 0.6%, as they were held down by legal settlements with Facebook and Google. Profits increased at a 3.3% rate in the second quarter.

The average of GDP and GDI, also referred to as gross domestic output and considered a better measure of economic activity, increased at a 2.3% rate in the July-September period, quickening from a 1.4% growth pace in the second quarter.

There are signs the economy slowed early in the fourth quarter amid a cooling in consumer spending and a deepening downturn in business investment.

The Trump administration's trade war with China has eroded business confidence, contributing to the second straight quarterly contraction in business investment. The fading stimulus from last year's $1.5 trillion tax cut package is also sapping momentum from the expansion, now in its 11th year.

Growth has slowed from the 3.1% rate notched in the first three months of the year. But the risks of a recession in the near term have subsided as the housing market has rebounded from last year's soft patch, driven by lower mortgage rates.

The Federal Reserve last month cut interest rates for the third time this year and signaled a pause in the easing cycle that started in July when it reduced borrowing costs for the first time since 2008.

Growth in consumer spending, which accounts for more than two-thirds of U.S. economic activity, was unrevised at a 2.9% rate in the third quarter.

Consumer spending is being supported by the lowest unemployment rate in nearly 50 years. But moderating job growth, ebbing consumer confidence and stalling wage gains are raising doubts about the consumer's resilience.

Business investment dropped at a 2.7% rate in the third quarter, rather than contracting at a 3.0% pace as previously reported. The declines in spending on nonresidential structures such as mining exploration, shafts and wells, were not as steep as previously estimated.

Inventories increased at a $79.8 billion pace instead of the $69.0 billion pace reported last month.


(Reporting by Lucia Mutikani Editing by Paul Simao)

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2019-11-27 13:39:00Z
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US growth revised higher to 2.1% in third quarter - Fox Business

The U.S. economy grew more quickly than expected in the three months through September, according to new figures published by the Commerce Department on Wednesday.

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Gross domestic product increased at a 2.1 percent annualized rate, the government said in its second reading of third-quarter GDP. That was higher than its original estimate of 1.9 percent last month; analysts surveyed by Refinitiv also expected the measure to remain unrevised from the preliminary reading.

MILLENNIALS' 'TROUBLING' HEALTH HABITS COULD HAVE ALARMING EFFECT ON US ECONOMY

The upward revision was largely the result of stronger inventory and business investment.

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At the beginning of the year, the U.S. economy grew at a torrid 3.1 percent rate, but has weakened substantially over the year -- largely a result of the U.S.-China trade war.

“The trade conflict with China represents the main risk to U.S. growth,” said Agathe Demarais, global forecasting director at the Economist Intelligence Unit. And if the world’s two largest economies fail to sign a phase one trade deal by mid-December, suspending billions of dollars in planned tariffs, “growth would decelerate more sharply than we currently expect.”

Still, the holiday shopping season, which is expected to be relatively healthy thanks to solid job growth and strong consumer spending, could boost economic growth.

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2019-11-27 13:29:53Z
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US durable goods orders rebound in October, rising 0.6% - CNBC

Household appliances for sale at a Home Depot in Chicago.

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Orders to U.S. factories for big-ticket manufactured goods rebounded last month on a surge in demand for military aircraft.

The Commerce Department says orders for durable goods — which are meant to last at least three years — rose 0.6% in October after dropping 1.4% in September. Orders for military aircraft soared 18.1%. Excluding defense, durable goods orders blipped up 0.1%.

The numbers reflected a strike at General Motors, settled in late October. Orders for cars and auto parts fell 1.9% in October and 2.9% in September.

American manufacturing has been hurt by a trade war with China and a slowing global economy. Overall October orders were better than economists had expected.

In addition, a closely watched category that tracks business investment rose 1.2% last month after dropping in September.

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2019-11-27 13:31:00Z
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These stores are closed on Thanksgiving Day: Report - Fox Business

If you're looking to get a head start on Black Friday shopping -- or if you have to pick up something last minute on Thanksgiving Day -- be careful you don't go to one of the many major retailers that are closing their doors for the holiday.

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According to PwC's Holiday Outlook 2019 report, 22 percent of people will shop online and in-store on Thanksgiving Day. The report also found that 32 percent of holiday shoppers plan to just shop online and 17 percent plan to go in-store.

Costco is among the major retailers that won't be open on Thanksgiving Day.

MACY'S SLASHES OUTLOOK AFTER STEEPER THAN EXPECTED SALES SLOWDOWN

Meanwhile, 24 percent don't plan to shop at all on Thanksgiving Day, PwC found.

If you're among those shoppers who want to browse the shelves in-store and get early deals on gifts, here’s a list of retailers to avoid, according to reports from USA Today and BestBlackFriday.com.

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Academy Sports + Outdoors

Ace Hardware

Aldi

Ann Taylor

Apple stores -- with the exception of the Fifth Avenue location in New York City, which closes for an hour on Thanksgiving night.

At Home

Barnes & Noble

Bealls Florida

BJ's Wholesale Club

Bloomingdale’s

Bob's Discount Furniture

Boscov's 

Burlington

Costco

Crate & Barrel

Dillard's

Fleet Farm

Guitar Center

H&M

Half Price Books

Harbor Freight

Hobby Lobby

Home Depot

HomeGoods

Ikea

Jo-Ann

Lids

Lowe’s

Marshalls

Menards

Neiman Marcus

Nordstrom

Nordstrom Rack

Office Depot and OfficeMax

Petco

Petsmart

Pier 1

Publix

REI

Sam's Club

Sears 

Shoe Carnival

Sierra Trading Post

Staples

Stein Mart

T.J.Maxx

The Container Store

Trader Joe's

True Value

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2019-11-27 12:08:14Z
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What stores are open on Thanksgiving Day 2019? - NJ.com

Some stores stay open all day long on Thanksgiving Day, while others just open their doors at night. When that happens, Black Friday basically turns into Black Thursday and Friday.

According to a survey conducted by BestBlackFriday.com, 72% of consumers think stores should be closed on Thanksgiving Day.

And while many stores will be staying closed on Thanksgiving Day, there are quite a few that will open at some point during the day.

What stores are open on Thanksgiving Day 2019?

Here is a list of stores confirmed to be open on Thanksgiving and when they will open:

What stores are closed on Thanksgiving Day 2019?

Here is a list of stores confirmed to be closed on Thanksgiving Day:

If you don’t want to go out shopping on Thanksgiving or Black Friday, plenty of retailers are offering online sales. Everything from tech products to furniture and even artificial Christmas trees can be found on sale.

Nicolette Accardi can be reached at naccardi@njadvancemedia.com. Follow her on Twitter: @N_Accardi. Find NJ.com on Facebook. Have a tip? Tell us. nj.com/tips

MORE RETAIL AND SHOPPING COVERAGE:

Black Friday 2019: Here are some artificial Christmas trees already on sale

Kmart, Sears to close more stores; only 1 in N.J. affected

A huge list of Black Friday 2019 sales already in progress

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2019-11-27 10:00:00Z
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Exclusive: China's ByteDance moves to ringfence its TikTok app amid U.S. probe - sources - Reuters

NEW YORK/WASHINGTON/BEIJING (Reuters) - ByteDance has stepped up efforts to separate its social media app TikTok from much of its Chinese operations, amid a U.S. national security panel’s inquiry into the safety of the personal data it handles, people familiar with the matter said.

FILE PHOTO: The logo of the TikTok app is seen on a mobile phone screen in this picture illustration taken February 21, 2019. Picture taken February 21, 2019. REUTERS/Danish Siddiqui/Illustration

The Chinese technology company is seeking to provide assurances to the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS) that personal data held by TikTok, which is widely popular with U.S. teenagers, is stored securely in the United States and will not be compromised by Chinese authorities, the sources said.

CFIUS, which reviews deals by foreign acquirers for potential national security risks, is looking into ByteDance’s $1 billion acquisition of social media app Musical.ly in 2017, which laid the foundations for TikTok’s rapid growth, Reuters reported earlier this month.

ByteDance’s response represents a key test of corporate China’s ability to operate businesses in the United States that handle personal data, as U.S. President Donald Trump’s trade war with China fans suspicion between the world’s two largest economies.

ByteDance is hoping to avoid the fate of Chinese gaming company Beijing Kunlun Tech Co Ltd (300418.SZ), which said in May it would agree to a CFIUS request to divest popular gay dating app Grindr following concerns about the security of personal data. It is also exploring exiting its investment in Grindr through an initial public offering.

ByteDance started to separate TikTok operationally before CFIUS approached it in October, because it wanted some of its staff to focus on TikTok, according to the sources.

It completed the separation of TikTok’s product and business development, marketing and legal teams from those of its Chinese social media app Douyin in the third quarter of this year, according to the sources, who requested anonymity to discuss the company’s internal arrangements.

During the summer, it also hired an external consultant to carry out audits on the integrity of the personal data it stores, the sources added. The company has said U.S. user data is stored entirely in the United States, with a backup in Singapore. It has also said that the Chinese government does not have any jurisdiction over TikTok content.

Following the approach by CFIUS, TikTok is making a new push to set up a team in Mountain View, California, that will oversee data management, according to the sources. This team will determine whether Chinese-based engineers should have access to TikTok’s database, and monitor their activity, the sources said.

TikTok is also hiring more U.S. engineers to reduce its reliance on staff in China, according to the sources.

It is not clear how effective these changes will be in appeasing CFIUS. A spokeswoman for the U.S. Treasury Department, which chairs CFIUS, said it does not comment on information relating to specific CFIUS cases.

“Shifting a company’s operations away from China, geographically and technically, can give CFIUS more comfort that the company is really independent of its Chinese owner and the Chinese government,” said Nevena Simidjiyska, a partner at law firm Fox Rothschild LLP who advises companies on CFIUS reviews and is not involved in the TikTok case.

U.S. CONCERNS

TikTok employs about 400 people in the United States, up from 20 people at the time of the Musical.ly acquisition, the sources said. Most of the new employees joined this year, as TikTok built its U.S. operations, the sources added. ByteDance has 50,000 employees around the world.

U.S. lawmakers called last month for a national security probe into TikTok, expressing concern that the Chinese company may be censoring politically sensitive content, and raising questions about how it stores personal data. Last week, U.S. Army Secretary Ryan McCarthy said the U.S. military is undertaking a security assessment of TikTok.

Facebook Inc (FB.O) CEO Mark Zuckerberg, whose social media platform competes with TikTok for younger users, has also criticized the app over censorship concerns.

The CFIUS probe is currently focused on the handling of personal data, rather than censorship, according to two of the sources. ByteDance views the CFIUS investigation as informal, and has not yet been subjected to an official review, one of the sources added.

Some of the personal data that TikTok stores, such as a person’s name, age, email address and phone number, is submitted by its users. Other information, related to a person’s location, is collected automatically, according to TikTok’s website. TikTok also stores user-generated content, such as photographs and videos.

FILE PHOTO: TikTok logo is displayed on the smartphone while standing on the U.S. flag in this illustration picture taken, November 8, 2019. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic

Launched just two years ago, TikTok has been downloaded 1.5 billion times, making it the third most downloaded non-gaming app of the year, after Facebook’s WhatsApp and Messenger apps, according to research firm SensorTower.

ByteDance is one of China’s fastest growing startups. It owns the country’s leading news aggregator, Jinri Toutiao, as well as TikTok, which has attracted celebrities like Ariana Grande and Katy Perry.

ByteDance counts Japanese technology giant SoftBank Group Corp (9434.T), venture capital firm Sequoia Capital, and private equity firms such as KKR & Co Inc (KKR.N), General Atlantic and Hillhouse Capital Group as backers.

Reporting by Echo Wang in New York, Alexandra Alper in Washington and Yingzhi Yang in Beijing; Editing by Greg Roumeliotis and Lisa Shumaker

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2019-11-27 08:06:00Z
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Selasa, 26 November 2019

Tesla Beats Ford in Tug of War. Why Ford Is Right to Be Upset. - Barron's

Tesla CEO Elon Musk decided to pick on Ford’s popular F-150 during the Cybertruck launch—and Ford Motor (ticker: F) isn’t happy about it.

During his reveal event in Los Angeles Musk played a “tug of war” video showing a Cybertruck pulling an F-150 with ease. It was a fun video. Ford isn’t laughing and they might be challenging the Cybertruck to an apples-to-apples pull-off. Musk tweeted “bring it on” in response to the suggestion. The winners in this truck-war are investors who will learn a lot about truck design as well as physics.

Apples-to-apples is the key phrase in this debate. Investors and onlookers don’t know which Cybertruck configuration was used or which F-150 was battling Cybertruck in the Tesla’s video. Configuration and conditions matter a lot. Here’s what investors need to know to evaluate who might win the truck wars.

Configuration

Tesla is offering the Cybertruck in three configurations: a one motor rear wheel drive option, a two motor all wheel drive option and a three motor all wheel drive option. A three motor all wheel drive Cybertruck is a $70,000 vehicle with about 1,000 foot-pounds of torque.

(A foot-pound is a common unit of torque—or twisting force—that correlates to how much and how easily a vehicle can pull something.)

A base model F-150 isn’t comparable to the three motor Cybertruck. A $70,000 Ford truck is more like a F-450 super duty pickup. A truck like that can also generate about more than 1,000 foot-pounds of torque—similar to the top-level configuration of Cybertruck.

Tires

A Ford F-450 also has more tires—six of them, with four in the back. That matters. A lot. Torque, for instance, is no good on ice. Surface contact with the road is critical. That raises another point. Onlookers don’t know what kind of tires were on both vehicles in the Telsa-filmed tug of war. Both Ford and Tesla didn’t respond to request for comments about the tug of war or truck configurations used in the original video.

Curb Weight

Weight obviously matters when towing. What’s less obvious is Tesla sedans tend to be heavier than comparable cars because of the battery pack. The weigh and distribution of the battery weight is one reason Tesla model cars handle so beautifully. Complete specifications aren’t available for Cybertruck, but a Tesla Model X sport-utility vehicle is about 1,000 pounds heavier than a base model Ford F-150.

Driving

Most people tend to believe they are above average drivers, which, by definition, can’t be true. There is a lot of skill in maximizing car performance. Just ask a race car driver. Original tug-or-war onlookers don’t know how both trucks were operated. Electric motors have peak torque at zero rpm. Traditional internal combustion engines don’t. How the F-150 engine is revved matters to pulling results.

“Tesla should have the advantage at zero rpm,” a retired automotive engineer tells Barron’s. “Ford will have to rev the engine and pop the clutch like we did in the old days.”

Functionality

No one is going to buy a truck to pull a friend’s car backward. And no one has yet answered Barron’s question about boats. Tesla’s base warranty doesn’t cover deep water, presumably because of the battery packs. Many people with boats know launching the craft requires backing into the river, lake or ocean. Tesla hasn’t responded to multiple request for comment about warranties.

Of course, it is impossible to design a perfect comparison. The Cybertruck, for instance, seats six in its base configuration. There is more room in electric vehicles because there is no internal combustion engine taking up space. The batteries in an EV are typically in the floor. That’s one positive for EVs that consumer may not typically consider.

And aside from being wildly entertaining, the tow off is important for Tesla, Ford and General Motors (GM). The two truck encumbents will be highly motivated to demonstrate their vehicles are as good or better than Cybertruck. Both will want to relegate the futuristic pickup to niche status.

Early results show Cybertruck might have wider appeal than many predicted. Telsa achieved a win collecting more than 200,000 orders for its latest model. But with a reservation price of only $100, which is fully refundable, it isn’t clear what reservation-to-delivery conversion the EV pioneer with realized. What’s more, the top configuration—with three electric motors—won’t be available until 2022, according to Tesla’s website. Both Ford and GM should have all electric trucks by then.

Since the launch event Tesla shares are down about 5.2%. Design disappointment might be responsible, but the stock is still up about 56% over the past three months. Ford shares have risen 3.3% since the Cybertruck launch event. The S&P 500, for comparison, is up 1% since the Tesla reveal gala.

Write to Al Root at allen.root@dowjones.com

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2019-11-26 15:59:00Z
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