A history of mergers
New challenges
https://www.cnn.com/2019/10/31/business/fiat-chrysler-psa-group/index.html
2019-10-31 11:19:24Z
52780422114346
Eric D. Lawrence Detroit Free Press
Published 9:06 AM EDT Oct 30, 2019
Fiat Chrysler and Peugeot owner PSA are in merger talks, the companies confirmed Wednesday.
The companies issued separate, nearly identical statements, signifying a coordinated messaging strategy, with Italian-American automaker FCA adding that it had no additional comment.
"Following recent reports on a possible business combination between Groupe PSA and FCA Group, Fiat Chrysler Automobiles N.V. ... confirms there are ongoing discussions aimed at creating one of the world‘s leading mobility Groups. FCA has nothing further to add at this time," the company said.
Reuters reported that a merger between FCA and the French auto company could create a "$50 billion giant better placed to tackle a host of costly technological and regulatory challenges facing the global auto industry."
FCA came close to a merger last summer with Renault, but complications with the French government led FCA to withdraw.
FCA had proposed a 50-50 merger with Renault in May, saying it would create the world's third-largest automaker and save $5.6 billion annually. Since then, FCA Chairman John Elkann, whose family has controlling interest in the company, confirmed the group’s bid to pursue an alternative alliance, Reuters said.
Read more:
Rashida Tlaib calls on FCA to protect health of residents as new assembly plant is built
FCA must pay almost $80M for missing federal fuel economy standards in '17
"If a combination of Peugeot and FCA succeeds in overcoming political, financial and governance hurdles, the new enterprise would still face substantial challenges," Reuters said, with an expected sales slowdown ahead and huge investments needed to keep pace in electrification and future mobility.
Global automakers face the prospect of a slowdown in demand coinciding with a need to invest in electrification and autonomy.
With that in mind, several analysts noted the deal's benefits.
"The automotive industry continues to realize partnership is a must in this rapidly changing environment. An FCA and PSA merger could benefit both parties. PSA is a big global automaker with a good European foothold and technologies FCA could benefit from. FCA has a big imprint in the U.S., a market PSA is trying to get into. On the surface, it makes sense," said Akshay Anand, executive analyst for Kelley Blue Book.
Brian Moody, executive editor for Autotrader, noted that "each company has something the other wants. Fiat Chrysler could surely use some of Peugeot’s cash and/or existing platforms to help build out a fleet of fresh new cars, including electric and hybrid vehicles. On the other hand, Peugeot would love to have access to a vast dealership network as well as a way to capitalize on the success of brands and vehicles like Ram and Jeep."
An FCA-Peugeot merger would create the world's fourth-largest automaker, behind Volkswagen, Toyota and the Renault-Nissan alliance.
FCA, with U.S. operations based in Auburn Hills, was created out of the Chrysler bankruptcy of a decade ago, when American automakers crashed amid the Great Recession.
PSA’s supervisory board is to meet Wednesday to discuss the potential deal, Reuters and the Wall Street Journal reported.
Read more on autos and sign up for our autos newsletter.
Check out the companies making headlines before the bell:
General Electric – General Electric reported quarterly profit of 15 cents per share, 4 cents a share above estimates. Revenue also exceeded forecasts and GE raised its full-year cash flow forecast.
Yum Brands – Yum earned an adjusted 80 cents per share for its latest quarter, 14 cents a share shy of consensus forecasts. Revenue also came in below estimates, hurt by a weaker-than-expected performance at its Pizza Hut and KFC units.
Anixter International – The software company agreed to be acquired by private-equity firm Clayton, Dubilier & Rice for $81 per share in cash. The total value of the deal is $3.8 billion including assumed debt, with the transaction expected to close by the end of 2020's first quarter.
Molson Coors – The beer brewer fell a penny a share short of estimates, with quarterly profit of $1.48 per share. Revenue also came in short of forecasts and Molson Coors announced a restructuring that will slash up to 500 jobs.
Garmin – The GPS and fitness device maker earned $1.19 per share for its latest quarter, well above the 95 cents a share consensus estimate. Revenue also topped forecasts. Garmin saw better-than-expected results in all its units, as well as higher-than-expected profit margins.
Tupperware – Tupperware earned an adjusted 43 cents per share, well short of the 62 cents a share consensus estimate. The housewares maker's revenue also came in short of forecasts. The company said it was experiencing challenging trends in markets like the U.S., China, Canada, and Brazil. Tupperware also cut its full-year earnings outlook.
Johnson & Johnson – J&J said its testing found no asbestos in its Johnson's Baby Powder. That testing included a single bottle that the Food and Drug Administration had said contained trace amounts of asbestos, prompting J&J to recall a lot of 33,000 bottles earlier this month.
Fiat Chrysler – Fiat Chrysler said it was in talks about a possible merger with Peugeot maker PSA that could create a combined company worth about $50 billion. Fiat Chrysler had abandoned talks earlier this year to merge with France's Renault.
Amgen – Amgen reported quarterly profit of $3.66 per share, 13 cents a share above estimates. The biotech company's revenue also beat forecasts and Amgen raised its full-year guidance amid strong sales of its biosimilar drugs.
Electronic Arts – Electronic Arts reported quarterly profit of 96 cents per share, 10 cents a share above estimates. The video game maker's revenue also topped estimates. Electronic Arts saw stronger digital sales, including game downloads and in-game purchases.
Mattel – Mattel came in 10 cents a share above estimates, with quarterly profit of 26 cents per share. The toy maker's revenue was slightly above Wall Street forecasts. Mattel also said it is restating some past earnings following an internal investigation into accounting issues, and the company's chief financial officer is resigning.
Mondelez International – Mondelez reported quarterly profit of 64 cents per share, 4 cents a share above estimates. Revenue was slightly above forecasts. The snack maker raised its full-year outlook, as sales volume increases across its major markets.
FireEye – FireEye raised its annual revenue guidance, after doubling estimates by reporting quarterly profit of 2 cents per share. The cybersecurity company's revenue also beat forecasts as it sold more cloud subscriptions.
Advanced Micro Devices – AMD reported adjusted earnings of 18 cents per share, in line with Street forecasts. Revenue was very slightly below estimates, although the chipmaker reported better-than-expected results for its data center business.
Yum China – Yum China beat analyst estimates by 3 cents A share, with quarterly profit of 58 cents per share. The restaurant operator's revenue was below forecasts, however, as were comparable-restaurant sales at KFC, Pizza Hut, and Taco Bell.
Sony – Sony reported its best-ever second-quarter profit, driven by strong sales of its image sensors. Sales helped offset a drop in earnings from Sony's gaming division.
Edison International – Edison's Southern California Edison unit said its equipment will likely be found to have been associated with a 2018 California wildfire that damaged more than 1,000 homes in Los Angeles and Ventura counties.
The Federal Reserve Building. | Mark Wilson/Getty Images
The Federal Reserve is getting ready to disappoint President Donald Trump. Again.
Fed policymakers on Wednesday are widely expected to cut interest rates for the third time since July. But positive headlines, largely driven by Trump’s preliminary trade deal with China, could lead the central bank to tap the brakes on any further decreases until there’s evidence that the economy really needs yet another boost.
Trump, who last week kept up his relentless attacks on the Fed by tweeting that it has been “way too fast to raise, and way too slow to cut!,” is leaning on the central bank to take bolder steps to stimulate growth as he heads into a bruising reelection campaign. It’s not going to happen, at least right now.
“Given that the economy is not in recession, and it’s unlikely to enter into recession, at some point the Fed is going to stop cutting rates,” said Gus Faucher, chief economist at PNC Financial. “And the president will not be happy about that.”
With the 2020 presidential race closing in, that means Trump’s biggest argument for reelection beyond his base — the strength of the economy — could be undercut by the reality that growth will, at best, be plugging along at the same pace as it was under his political nemesis, former President Barack Obama.
That dynamic could simply mean more angry tweets from the president, but he could escalate the standoff by reviving his threat to fire Fed Chair Jerome Powell.
“The way to get the Fed’s attention again means threatening to fire Powell, but he seems to have backed off of that,” said Sarah Binder, a political science professor at George Washington University. “He doesn’t really get any pickup from Republicans on the Hill.”
That could change if the economy begins to dramatically slow, particularly given Congress’s inability to enact new policy.
“It’s possible that the push for the economy comes from stepping back from some of these trade disputes,” Binder said. “I’m hard-pressed to see Republicans, given a divided Congress, doing any major stimulus, especially as the deficit gets over $1 trillion.”
“The way to do it might be through infrastructure, but no one seems to think that’s a serious possibility,” she added.
As the Fed aims to continue its policy of ignoring the president’s broadsides, the central bank faces a complicated picture. Still healthy consumer spending and a 50-year-low unemployment rate suggest the economy isn’t in dire need of intervention.
Indeed, market participants on Tuesday afternoon were nearly unanimous in predicting the Fed will lower rates on Wednesday — and almost 80 percent are then expecting the central bank to hold off on another cut in December, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.
But data show that manufacturing is contracting, businesses are more hesitant to invest in the face of trade tensions, and inflation has been stuck below the central bank’s 2 percent target, all of which make the case for lower rates.
Economists are widely predicting that new GDP data, set for release Wednesday morning, will show that the economy grew by less than 2 percent in the third quarter, and a Friday report on jobs numbers could be weak, particularly after a six-week strike by GM workers.
Still, a lot of the Fed’s worst fears about the outlook have simply not come to pass.
“We could’ve had a worsening of the trade war with China, which we didn’t, and we could’ve had a hard Brexit on Oct. 31, which we don’t,” said Diane Swonk, chief economist at Grant Thornton.
Swonk said that means the central bank could even hold off on a reduction this week and wait to cut rates later when the economy might need it more. “I am actually really worried about the economy next year, but I’d rather the Fed save its fire for when it has its biggest impact,” she said.
Holding off on a rate decrease could also have a side benefit for the central bank, Swonk said.
“They’re going to raise the president’s ire no matter what because they’re not going to cut enough for him, so that’s just background noise,” she said. “The added benefit of not cutting … it does underscore the Fed’s independence at a critical juncture.”
PNC’s Faucher said that while the worst-case scenario hasn’t materialized, “there is a substantial amount of risk out there,” particularly around the U.S.-China trade relationship, but also related to Britain’s exit from the European Union, that has still not gone away.
Fed leaders have sent few signals about their plans over the last few months, given the uncertainty over how the economic outlook might unfold. Powell has underscored that the central bank is trying to manage potential risks, even as he has suggested that lowering borrowing costs isn’t the ideal way to offset decreased growth as a result of trade uncertainty.
Making his effort at communicating the Fed’s intentions even more delicate is that members of the central bank’s rate-setting committee have increasingly diverse opinions on the right way forward.
Three of the 10 voting members dissented from the Fed’s cut in September, with two preferring to hold steady and one wanting to reduce rates by a larger amount.
“That’s part of the conundrum here,” Binder said. It’s possible “there’s no forward guidance to be given because they don’t know what they’re going to do in December.”
PSA Group, the French owner of Peugeot, is exploring a merger with its US-Italian rival Fiat Chrysler, it has confirmed.
A deal between the two carmakers would create a business with a combined market value of nearly $50bn (£39.9bn).
This is Fiat Chrysler's second attempt at a merger this year after it pulled out of an agreement with Renault in June.
Fiat Chrysler shares jumped 7.5% on Wall Street.
The potential merger would face significant political and financial hurdles.
Discussions remain in the early stages and there is no guarantee of a final deal.
However, if the two companies do combine, PSA chief executive Carlos Tavares is expected to lead the enlarged group.
John Elkann, Fiat Chrysler's chairman and the head of Italy's Agnelli industrial dynasty which controls the business, would retain the same position at the new company.
A merger of the two groups would bring a number of brands under one roof including Alfa Romeo, Citroen, Jeep, Opel, Peugeot and Vauxhall.
The talks come months after a proposed tie-up between Fiat Chrysler and French carmaker Renault collapsed.
Fiat Chrysler had described its bid for Renault as a "transformative" proposal that would create a global automotive leader.
Industry shifts toward electric models, along with stricter emissions standards and the development of new technologies for autonomous vehicles, have put increasing pressure on carmakers to consolidate.