Sabtu, 15 Juni 2019

New Auto Safety Features Can Make Car Insurance More Expensive - NPR

A photo demonstrates safety features in a Volvo XC40. Many new cars have optional features that can help prevent accidents. But those same features can also make repairs more expensive, boosting car insurance premiums. Volvo Car Group hide caption

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Volvo Car Group

Many new cars sold today can take preemptive action to help prevent crashes — hitting the brakes before a collision, steering around obstacles or alerting drivers to hazards in their blind spots.

Those safety features — collectively known as advanced driver-assistance systems, or ADAS — reduce the risk of crashes. It might seem logical to assume that as a result, they'd reduce the cost of car insurance.

But instead, these advanced safety features can actually drive premiums up. That's because when such cars do get in crashes, the repairs are more expensive — thanks to the suite of sensors and computers that make these features possible.

Scott Wallisch, an auto pricing director with American Family Insurance, says headlights are a good example.

"A lot of vehicles are moving towards adaptive headlights that kind of look around the corner at night, or are LED and they're very bright," he says.

The benefit is easy to see — it helps a driver see better and avoid hitting something. But: "If a headlight gets into an accident it used to be $200 to replace it," Wallisch says. "Now, it's $2,000 to replace that same headlight."

It's the same story for other safety features. If your car is watching your blind spot, the technology in your side mirrors may be pricier than it appears, and sensors that help your vehicle detect pedestrians bump up the cost of your bumper. Windshields, rear sensors ... the list goes on.

"At least thus far, the improvements in safety and accident avoidance hasn't been significant enough to overtake the increase in cost to repair vehicles," says Michael Klein, the president of personal insurance at Travelers. The increase in repair costs gets passed on to consumers, he says.

New cars tend to be pricier to insure anyway, and instead of providing a break to consumers, cutting-edge safety technology can raise costs.

But Klein emphasizes that this shouldn't dissuade anyone from choosing a safer vehicle.

"Not all the incentives are economic," he says. "If you have the opportunity to buy a vehicle that has features that should make it safer and make it less likely you're going to get into an accident, that ought [to] be worth something to you."

The general trend holds across the industry. Sandee Perfetto works at Verisk, a company that provides data analysis to the insurance industry, where she directs personal auto product development.

"We have seen an increase in auto insurance premiums," she says. "There may be a number of factors that that can be attributed to, but this is potentially one of them."

However, policies vary, and Carmen Balber of Consumer Watchdog says it's crucial to shop around.

"Our research has shown that some auto insurance companies do give consumers discounts for having these safety features," she says, "but you may have to look around and they vary state by state."

Automatic emergency braking, where the car hits the brakes if it predicts a crash, is more likely to earn a car owner a discount, several experts said. But it's not guaranteed. And many other features aren't likely to save on insurance costs at all.

This could change in the future. The new technology could get cheaper over time, as it often does. Or as safety features get more common, they could reduce accidents more dramatically and change the cost-benefit analysis.

Insurers might simply need more time to understand just how effective the new safety features are. After all, insurers set rates now based on all the data they've collected from the past — that's how the entire industry works.

But some of these safety features are brand new, and there hasn't been much time to accumulate data.

Tom Karol, of the National Association of Mutual Insurance Companies, says the tech isn't just new — it's evolving. A feature might work one way this year, then get an update next year. And carmakers aren't always eager to share details about their proprietary technology.

"It's very difficult to get data on a moving target like that," he says.

Balber, of Consumer Watchdog, rejects the idea that the auto insurance industry needs more data on safety features.

"Insurance companies have the data that they need, if they chose to look for it, to determine if these safety features are actually reducing accidents," she says.

But Amy Bach, who runs United Policyholders, a nonprofit representing consumers, says she's not surprised to see insurers take their time assessing features. Historically the insurance industry has done a lot to promote safety, she says, but change doesn't happen quickly.

"Insurance ... it's about risk," she says. "Insurers tend to be cautious."

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https://www.npr.org/2019/06/15/728256381/why-safer-cars-dont-lead-to-cheaper-car-insurance-yet

2019-06-15 11:57:00Z
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Americans' Reliance on Social Security Is Near a Record High, Survey Shows - The Motley Fool

This coming August, we'll be celebrating Social Security's 84th anniversary since it was signed into law by Franklin Roosevelt. Over its nearly 84 years of existence, more than 79 of which have included payouts to retired workers, it's kept countless seniors, disabled workers, and survivors of deceased workers above the federal poverty level.

But as impressive as Social Security is as a program, one thing it was never intended to become was a primary source of income.

An elderly man counting a fanned pile of cash bills in his hands.

Image source: Getty Images.

Chances are that you're relying too much on Social Security

According to the Social Security Administration, average workers should see about 40% of their working wages replaced during retirement via a Social Security benefit, with perhaps a slightly higher percentage for lower-income workers, and a smaller percentage for the more well-to-do. This suggests that while Social Security will be there to assist seniors, they should have other sources of income, such as retirement accounts or a pension, that supersede their Social Security benefit in importance.

Yet, according to an annually released survey from national pollster Gallup, Americans' reliance on the program remains unmistakably high -- which, as you'll see, isn't a good thing.

The latest Gallup survey, which was conducted in early April, asked both current retirees and nonretirees how much they currently rely on, or respectively expect to rely on, Social Security income. Among current retirees, 57% consider it a "major source" of income, with 33% noting it's a "minor source." Meanwhile, 33% of nonretirees expect Social Security to be a "major source" of income, with 50% proclaiming it'll be a "minor source."

One way of viewing this data is by looking at it in the context of "respondents who'll need their Social Security income to make ends meet" versus "respondents who don't consider Social Security a necessary source of income." In Gallup's poll, a combined 90% of current retirees, and a combined 83% of nonretirees, will lean on Social Security in some capacity during retirement. For current retirees, this 90% reliance ties a 17-year high, and is unchanged from last year. As for nonretirees, their expected reliance on Social Security is just 1 percentage point below a 16-year high, and down 1 percentage point from 2018

Two red dice next to a sliver of paper that reads, Will Your Social Security Be Enough?

Image source: Getty Images.

Big problems are right around the corner

Given that Social Security has been around for more than eight decades and is pretty much incapable of going bankrupt, this heavy reliance on the program may not seem like a big deal. But make no mistake: Big changes in the program look to be on their way, and an undue reliance on Social Security could come back to haunt seniors in relatively short order.

Every year, the Social Security Board of Trustees issues a report on the short-term (10-year) and long-term (75-year) outlook for the program. In the newest report, released in April, the Trustees forecast the beginning of annual net-cash outflows from Social Security in 2020, with these outflows growing with each passing year. By the time 2035 rolls around, the $2.9 trillion in surpluses that the program has built up since inception will be completely gone.

Understand that there's a big difference between not having any asset reserves and not having any revenue. Social Security will still be generating plenty of revenue each year as a result of its 12.4% payroll tax on earned income, as well as the taxation of Social Security benefits. This is what ensures that Social Security can never go bankrupt or just disappear.

But the program's absence of excess capital would mean that across-the-board benefit cuts are necessary to keep the program solvent for a long period of time. The Trustees have forecast the need for an up to 23% reduction in retired-worker benefits by 2035 if no additional revenue is raised by Congress, or expenditure cuts made.

As of May, the average retired worker was taking home almost $1,470 a month. But a 23% haircut to this average payout would reduce it dangerously close to the federal poverty level, in 2019 dollars.

A mature man closely examining material that's on his laptop.

Image source: Getty Images.

Know your options

The fact is, Americans can't rely on Congress to bail them out. This means the onus of a healthy retirement is on each of us. Thankfully, there are steps to take to improve our financial standing.

The easiest way to reduce your reliance on Social Security is by taking advantage of the retirement and investing tools available to you. This might include a 401(k) plan through your employer -- particularly handy if there's a company match option -- or setting up an Individual Retirement Account (IRA), which can offer up-front or back-end tax benefits, depending on which method works best for your tax situation and current income.

It also helps to enter retirement with little or no debt and an ample emergency savings fund for those just-in-case moments. Having money saved up for a rainy day will ensure that you're not waiting on the edge of your seat for that next Social Security benefit check to be deposited.

But just as important is understanding your Social Security claiming options. Although there is no perfect claiming strategy, there are certainly clues that can assist in your claiming decision. Ensuring that you understand your options -- which may include waiting years before taking benefits, undoing a claim, or maximizing household income via spousal benefits and/or child benefits -- can help get the most out of Social Security. By knowing your options, even a potential 23% haircut to your payout doesn't have to be devastating.

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https://www.fool.com/retirement/2019/06/15/americans-reliance-on-social-security-is-near-a-re.aspx

2019-06-15 10:06:00Z
CAIiEGtBtFsEUpIq8CG5bvT4PxoqFQgEKgwIACoFCAowgHkwoBEw2vCeBg

Tips for Spotting a U.S. Recession Before It Becomes Official - Bloomberg

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Tips for Spotting a U.S. Recession Before It Becomes Official  Bloomberg

As the U.S. nears a record-long expansion in July, the conversation is increasingly turning to when it will all end.


https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-06-15/tips-for-spotting-a-u-s-recession-before-it-becomes-official

2019-06-15 09:00:00Z
CAIiEFWRwrXTH7au2biXX5rsi1gqGQgEKhAIACoHCAow4uzwCjCF3bsCMIrOrwM

Jumat, 14 Juni 2019

Chewy soars more than 70% in IPO - CNN

Shares of Chewy, which was bought by retailer PetSmart in 2017 for nearly $3.4 billion, soared nearly 80% to about $39 in early trading Friday. The company was valued at more than $15 billion following the stock sale.
Chewy priced its initial public offering Thursday at $22 a share. That was above the expected range.
The company raised $1 billion from the stock sale and now trades on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol CHWY.
PetSmart remains the majority owner of Chewy, with a 70% stake in the company and 77% controlling interest.
These companies could save the IPO market
Chewy is growing rapidly, despite competitive threats from Amazon (AMZN) as well as food giant General Mills (GIS) -- which recently acquired pet food seller Blue Buffalo.
Sales soared 68% last year to more than $3.5 billion. But the company is still losing money. It reported a net loss of $268 million in 2018, following a $338 million loss a year earlier.
Chewy is the latest high-profile unicorn IPO to launch with a smash, following in the footsteps of gig economy network Fiverr on Thursday and cybersecurity firm CrowdStrike (CRWD) earlier this week.
Beyond Meat (BYND), video conferencing company Zoom (ZM) and software firm PagerDuty (PD) have all surged since going public as well, a sign that the broader IPO market is still in solid shape despite the struggles of Uber (UBER) and Lyft (LYFT).
Chewy will be hoping that it is the next Beyond Meat and not another flop like Uber.
The company may also have to deal with unfavorable comparisons to Pets.com, one of the highest profile disasters of the dot-com bubble era in the late 1990s and early 2000.

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https://www.cnn.com/2019/06/14/investing/chewy-ipo/index.html

2019-06-14 15:35:00Z
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US stocks trade lower on weak Chinese data, chip shares - Fox Business

U.S. stocks are trading lower on Friday after Chinese industrial output for May came in below expectations.

Continue Reading Below

Semiconductor stocks are falling after Broadcom lowered its full-year revenue guidance, saying U.S.-China trade tensions and export restrictions on Huawei were hurting demand for chips.

TickerSecurityLastChange%Chg
I:DJIDOW JONES AVERAGES26073.33-33.44-0.13%
SP500S&P 5002881.88-9.76-0.34%
I:COMPNASDAQ COMPOSITE INDEX7790.817264-46.31-0.59%

Chinese industrial production was up 5.5 percent year over year, the slowest pace of growth in 17 years, and another sign that trade tensions are hurting growth.

U.S. President Donald Trump said on Tuesday that he was holding up a trade deal with China and had  no interest in moving ahead unless Beijing agrees again to four or five "major points" that Trump did not specify.

TickerSecurityLastChange%Chg
AVGOBROADCOM LIMITED262.99-18.62-6.61%
AAPLAPPLE INC.191.78-2.37-1.22%
INTCINTEL CORPORATION46.04-0.66-1.41%

Broadcom Inc. expects yearly sales to fall by $2 billion as uncertainty hangs over the chip industry after the Trump administration announced a ban on exports to Chinese telecom behemoth Huawei Tech.

Shares of Apple are also falling along with chip and chip-related stocks on the Broadcom warning. Apple and Intel are the worst-performing Dow stocks.

In economic news, U.S. retail sales increased in May and sales for the prior month were revised higher. The Commerce Department said on Friday retail sales rose 0.5 percent last month as households bought more motor vehicles and a variety of other goods.

Data for April was revised up to show retail sales gaining 0.3 percent, instead of dropping 0.2 percent as previously reported.

Oil prices fell on Friday on fears trade disputes will dent global oil demand, although the attacks this week on two oil tankers in the Gulf of Oman gave prices a floor.

Brent crude futures were up 9 cents at $61.40 a barrel by 1139 GMT, having gained 2.2 percent on Thursday.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures were up 7 cents at $52.34.

Both contracts were on track for weekly declines of more than 3 percent.

A third of all oil traded by sea passes through the strait, which is the narrow mouth of the Persian Gulf.

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In Asia on Friday, China's Shanghai Composite finished the day down 1 percent. Hong Kong's Hang Seng dropped 0.7 percent and Japan's Nikkei ended the day 0.1 percent higher.

In Europe, Britain’s FTSE 100 was lower by 0.5 percent,  France’s CAC 40 was off by 0.3 percent and Germany's DAX fell  0.6 percent.

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https://www.foxbusiness.com/markets/us-stocks-wall-street-june-14-2019

2019-06-14 13:32:50Z
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Flour Sold at Walmart and Target Nationwide is Being Recalled Due to E. Coli Concerns - WNEP Scranton/Wilkes-Barre

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Flour Sold at Walmart and Target Nationwide is Being Recalled Due to E. Coli Concerns  WNEP Scranton/Wilkes-Barre

Thousands of cases of unbleached all-purpose flour are being voluntarily recalled due to E. coli concerns. That's nearly 114000 bags of King Arthur Flour.

View full coverage on Google News
https://wnep.com/2019/06/14/flour-sold-at-walmart-and-target-nationwide-is-being-recalled-due-to-e-coli-concerns/

2019-06-14 12:48:00Z
CAIiELvdeqF4hrIE1gQ7D-o0jv8qGQgEKhAIACoHCAowr4v_CjDq_fcCMLO45AU

King Arthur Flour recalls some flour because of E. coli risk - NJ.com

A Vermont-based flour company is voluntarily recalling some bags of flour because of potential E. coli contamination.

The company posted on its website a statement from King Arthur Flour saying it is recalling more than 14,000 cases of 5-pound unbleached all-purpose flour. The company said Thursday that to date no illness had been reported in connection with the product.

The flour was distributed through retailers and distributors across the country. The recall doesn’t include products sold through the King Arthur Flour website, Baker’s Catalogue or the Baker’s Store in Norwich, Vermont. The recall affects products with six lot codes and three “best used by” dates.

The company says it was informed by ADM Milling that certain wheat used to make the flour has been linked to an ongoing outbreak of E. coli infections. ADM Milling in May recalled 5-pound bags of Baker’s Corner All Purpose Flour packaged for Aldi because of the potential presence of E.coli.

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https://www.nj.com/news/2019/06/king-arthur-flour-recalls-some-flour-because-of-e-coli-risk.html

2019-06-14 11:49:00Z
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