Jumat, 24 Mei 2019

US orders for long-lasting goods fall 2.1% in April - Fox News

Orders to U.S. factories for large manufactured goods fell sharply last month, pulled down by lower demand for commercial aircraft and cars.

The Commerce Department said Friday that orders for durable goods — or items meant to last at least three years — fell 2.1%, after rising 1.7% in March. Orders also fell steeply in February.

Aircraft orders, typically a volatile category, plummeted 25.1%, after a more modest gain of 7.8% in the previous month. Orders for cars and auto parts fell 3.4%, the biggest drop in nearly a year.

Excluding transportation items, orders were unchanged. But a category that tracks business investment declined 0.9%, the most since December. Demand for communications equipment and steel, aluminum and other metals fell, while orders for machinery barely rose.

The data suggest companies are spending less on big-ticket items, likely in part because of the uncertainties raised by the U.S.-China trade war. Americans are also purchasing fewer cars, forcing automakers to pare back activity. Higher interest rates and additional competition from late-model used cars has reduced sales.

Manufacturing output has weakened in the past year, held back by trade tensions and slower global growth. Factory output fell in April, according to a report by the Federal Reserve. Factory production has increased just 0.9 percent in the past 12 months.

The U.S. and China appear to be digging in for a long trade fight. The Trump administration has imposed 25% tariffs on $250 billion of Chinese imports, many of which are industrial parts and components. That has raised costs for manufacturers.

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2019-05-24 12:37:15Z
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Fears of deeper U.S.-China trade war push Asian shares to four-month low - Investing.com

© Reuters. The London Stock Exchange Group offices are seen in the City of London, Britain © Reuters. The London Stock Exchange Group offices are seen in the City of London, Britain

By Karin Strohecker

LONDON (Reuters) - World stocks edged higher on Friday and oil prices bounced after comments by President Donald Trump encouraged hopes of progress in U.S.-China trade talks while British Prime Minister Theresa May's resignation briefly sent sterling fluctuating wildly.

Persisting concerns over the health of the world economy linked to trade tensions have hit global markets this week, with the MSCI All Country index in line for a more than 1% fall in its third week in the red. That will mark its longest losing streak since a rout in December.

The index gained 0.2% on Friday following the overnight comments from Trump, who said issues with China's Huawei Technologies Co Ltd might be resolved within the framework of a broader trade deal. However, no high-level talks have been scheduled and Trump also labeled the telecommunications company "very dangerous".

With flight-to-safety plays remaining dominant, Asian bourses were torn between fears of a more protracted U.S.-China trade war and hopes the world's two largest economies would reach a deal soon.

China mainland blue chips and Hong Kong stocks climbed around 0.3% while Japan's fell 0.2%. ()

European stock markets were more upbeat. The pan-regional index, Germany's , France's and Britain's all rose around 0.8 percent. () ()

"It might be a step too far that there is optimism over a trade deal but there may be a little more optimism over the way talks are going," Investec chief economist Philip Shaw said.

Wall Street also looked in line for a reprieve after major indexes tumbled more than 1% on Thursday as dire economic data exacerbated trade war fears (). pointed to a 0.6% rise at the open.

With safe-haven assets in demand, the benchmark hit 2.292% overnight, the lowest level since mid-October 2017. The yield last stood at 2.3220%.

"Fixed income safe-haven sovereign markets are the asset of choice at the moment, and although we had a recovery in European stock markets this morning, there has not been much of a retracement at all in (German) bunds or (British) gilts," Shaw said.

Key parts of the U.S. yield curve were inverted, flashing another warning sign about the health of the world's biggest economy.

U.S. manufacturing growth sputtered in May, data showed on Thursday, measuring its weakest pace of activity in nearly a decade, while new orders fell for the first time since August 2009.

"The fear now is that the economic recovery from the poor second half of 2018 may be dying before it even emerges," said Peter Schaffrik, global macro strategist at RBC Capital Markets.

Washington last week effectively banned U.S. firms from doing business with Huawei, the world's largest networking gear maker, citing national security concerns.

The U.S. Commerce Department said on Thursday it was proposing a new rule to impose anti-subsidy duties on products from countries that undervalue their currencies, in another move that could penalize Chinese products.

China's Foreign Ministry on Friday denounced Washington's comments on Huawei.

MAY PREMIERSHIP ENDS IN JUNE

In Britain, May announcing her resignation send the pound on a rollercoaster ride. It popped up nearly half a percent against the dollar after the announcement but the gains were short lived and it subsequently traded back at $1.2672, and not far off the day's lows versus the euro.

May is likely to be succeeded by a Eurosceptic leader, potentially increasing chances of a no-deal Brexit.

On Thursday, the pound had suffered its 14th consecutive day of losses against the euro, its longest losing streak on record.

Elsewhere on currency markets, the that measures it against six major rivals had hit a high of 98.371 on Thursday U.S. time. It was last quoted a touch weaker at 97.814.

The euro, which on Thursday slumped to levels last seen in May 2017 as a recovery in euro zone business activity was weaker than expected, traded at $1.1182 on Friday.

Other major currencies were relatively calm. The dollar was holding at 109.59 yen, flat on the day.

Oil prices gained amid OPEC supply cuts and tensions in the Middle East. Crude futures tumbled on Thursday as trade tensions dampened the demand outlook, with the benchmarks posting their biggest daily falls in six months.[O/R]

was at $58.7 a barrel, up 1.4%, after Thursday's 5.7% fall that took it to the lowest in two months. futures rebounded 1.3% to $68.65 per barrel, after falling 4.6% in the previous session.

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https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/asian-shares-at-fourmonth-low-on-deepening-uschina-trade-war-1877855

2019-05-24 10:19:00Z
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How To Retire At 64 With Only Half A Million - Seeking Alpha

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How To Retire At 64 With Only Half A Million  Seeking Alpha

Seeking Alpha provides help for retirees and other investors working through current issues in the stock market today. I will be using hypothetical situations m.


https://seekingalpha.com/article/4266206-retire-64-half-million

2019-05-24 10:00:00Z
CBMiP2h0dHBzOi8vc2Vla2luZ2FscGhhLmNvbS9hcnRpY2xlLzQyNjYyMDYtcmV0aXJlLTY0LWhhbGYtbWlsbGlvbtIBQ2h0dHBzOi8vc2Vla2luZ2FscGhhLmNvbS9hbXAvYXJ0aWNsZS80MjY2MjA2LXJldGlyZS02NC1oYWxmLW1pbGxpb24

Global stocks, oil edge higher on muted trade optimism - Investing.com

© Reuters. The London Stock Exchange Group offices are seen in the City of London, Britain © Reuters. The London Stock Exchange Group offices are seen in the City of London, Britain

By Karin Strohecker

LONDON (Reuters) - World stocks edged higher on Friday and oil prices recovered from bruising falls, after U.S. President Donald Trump nurtured muted hopes of progress in U.S.-China talks while concerns over trade and the health of the world economy persisted.

Trade tensions have roiled global markets this week with the MSCI All Country index up 0.2% on the day but in line for a more than 1% fall in its third week in the red, their longest losing streak since a rout in December.

In overnight comments, Trump also labeled Chinese telecommunications giant Huawei Technologies Co Ltd "very dangerous" while adding issues with the firm might be resolved within the framework of a broader trade deal, though no high-level talks have been scheduled.

Asian bourses were torn between fears of a more protracted U.S.-China trade war and hopes the world's two largest economies would reach a deal soon. China mainland blue chips and Hong Kong stocks climbed around 0.3% while Japan's fell 0.2%.

European stock markets were more upbeat. The pan-regional index, Germany's , France's and Britain's all rose around 1 percent.

"It might be a step too far that there is optimism over a trade deal but there may be a little more optimism over the way talks are going," Investec chief economist Philip Shaw said.

Wall Street also looked in line for a reprieve after major indexes tumbled more than 1% on Thursday as dire economic data exacerbated trade war fears. pointed to a 0.6% rise at the open.

Flight-to-safety plays continued to dominated global markets with the benchmark hitting 2.292% overnight, the lowest level since mid-October 2017. The yield last stood at 2.3220%.

Key parts of the U.S. yield curve were inverted, flashing another warning sign about the health of the world's biggest economy.

U.S. manufacturing growth sputtered in May, data showed on Thursday, measuring its weakest pace of activity in nearly a decade, while new orders fell for the first time since August 2009.

"Fixed income safe-haven sovereign markets are the asset of choice at the moment, and although we had a recovery in European stock markets this morning, there has not been much of a retracement at all in (German) bunds or (British) gilts," Shaw said.

Washington last week effectively banned U.S. firms from doing business with Huawei, the world's largest networking gear maker, citing national security concerns.

The U.S. Commerce Department said on Thursday it was proposing a new rule to impose anti-subsidy duties on products from countries that undervalue their currencies, in another move that could penalize Chinese products.

China's Foreign Ministry on Friday denounced Washington's comments on Huawei.

Among currencies, the that measures it against six major rivals hit a high of 98.371 on Thursday U.S. time. It was last quoted a touch weaker at 97.789.

The euro, which on Thursday slumped to levels last seen in May 2017 as a recovery in euro zone business activity was weaker than expected, traded at $1.1191 on Friday.

Sterling strengthened a quarter of a percent after softening nine out of the previous 10 sessions against the dollar amid mounting pressure on Prime Minister Theresa May to name a date for her departure after a backlash over her plans for Britain's exit from the European Union.

The pound traded at $1.2687. Sterling suffered its 14th consecutive day of losses against the euro on Thursday, its longest losing streak on record. It stood at 0.8818 to the euro.

Other major currencies were relatively calm. The dollar was holding at 109.59 yen, flat on the day.

In commodity markets, oil prices gained amid OPEC supply cuts and tensions in the Middle East. Crude futures tumbled on Thursday as trade tensions dampened the demand outlook, with the crude benchmarks posting their biggest daily falls in six months.

was at $58.7 a barrel, up 1.4%, after Thursday's 5.7% fall that took it to the lowest in two months. futures rebounded 1.3% to $68.65 per barrel, after falling 4.6% in the previous session.

(GRAPHIC: MSCI World Asia as of May 24 2019 - https://tmsnrt.rs/2YLviNL)

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https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/asian-shares-at-fourmonth-low-on-deepening-uschina-trade-war-1877855

2019-05-24 09:04:00Z
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Asia stocks flat as trade worries linger, Europe to open higher - Investing.com

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A man is reflected in an electronic board showing the graph of the recent fluctuations of the TOPIX outside a brokerage in Tokyo © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A man is reflected in an electronic board showing the graph of the recent fluctuations of the TOPIX outside a brokerage in Tokyo

By Tomo Uetake and Noah Sin

TOKYO/HONG KONG (Reuters) - Asian stock markets were mixed on Friday, with sentiment torn between investors worried that the U.S.-China trade war was becoming more protracted, and others hopeful that the world's two largest economies would reach a settlement soon.

European stock markets looked slightly more optimistic. In early trade, futures for the pan-region and German gained 0.4%, and London's futures were up 0.3%.

In Asia, MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan bounced back to trade flat after hitting a four-month low earlier. The index is still on track for a third straight weekly loss, down 0.8% so far on the week.

Chinese equities firmed as some investors took advantage of cheap share prices. The gained 0.1% and the blue-chip CSI 300 rose 0.4% in afternoon trade. Hong Kong's added 0.3%.

Japan's average was lower by 0.3%.

On Wall Street, the fell 1.1%, the lost 1.2% and the dropped 1.6%, as traders dumped cyclical names on fears that the escalating U.S.-China trade war would stymie global economic growth.

U.S. President Donald Trump said on Thursday that Washington's complaints against Huawei Technologies might be resolved within the framework of a U.S.-China trade deal, while calling the Chinese telecom giant "very dangerous."

Jasper Lawler, head of research at London Capital Group, said "the fact that Trump is still talking about a trade agreement is offering some optimism to the markets."

"Traders have been focused on the damage to the global economy that a prolonged trade war could cause, so a break from the bad news is cautiously lifting sentiment," he wrote in a note on Friday, commenting on the expected higher European open.

Washington last week effectively banned U.S. firms from doing business with Huawei, the world's largest networking gear maker, citing national security concerns.

The U.S. Commerce Department said on Thursday it was proposing a new rule to impose anti-subsidy duties on products from countries that undervalue their currencies, in another move that could penalize Chinese products.

China's Commerce Ministry hit back on Thursday, with its spokesman saying "if the United States wants to continue trade talks, they should show sincerity and correct their wrong actions."

Masanari Takada, cross-assets strategist at Nomura Securities in Tokyo, said the U.S.-China trade conflict "has not yet fully dented the global investor sentiment, so there is no panic-selling. But at the same time, the sentiment will likely remain weak."

As flight-to-safety plays dominated global markets, the benchmark hit 2.292%, the lowest level since mid-October 2017, with the key parts of the yield curve inverted. The yield last stood at 2.3237%.

Chotaro Morita, chief fixed income strategist at SMBC Nikko Securities, said big falls shown in a fresh U.S. manufacturing survey appear to reflect expectations of a breakdown in the U.S-China trade talks.

"In the last couple of years, the PMI has had a very small gap with hard data, such as industrial output. So if that holds true this time, we could see factory production plunging into negative levels (compared to a year ago)."

"Since the global financial crisis, U.S. output has fallen only once: from 2015 to early 2016 when the shale industry was badly hit. Markets could start to fret over a global slowdown as they have done late last year."

The , which measures it against six major currencies, hit a high of 98.371 on Thursday U.S. time. It was last quoted at 97.847, little changed on the day.

The euro on Thursday slumped to levels last seen in May 2017 as a recovery in euro zone business activity was weaker than expected. Early Friday, the currency was flat on the day at $1.1181.

Sterling weakened again on Thursday as pressure mounted on British Prime Minister Theresa May to name a date for her departure after a backlash over her last-ditch plans for Britain's exit from the European Union.

The pound was last traded at $1.2663, little changed on the day. Sterling suffered its 14th consecutive day of losses against the euro on Thursday, its longest losing streak on record. It stood at 0.8829 pound to the euro.

Other major currencies were relatively calm. The dollar was holding at 109.59 yen, flat on the day.

In commodity markets, oil prices tumbled on Thursday as trade tensions dampened the demand outlook, with the crude benchmarks posting their biggest daily falls in six months.

Oil prices stabilized on Friday amid OPEC supply cuts and tensions in the Middle East.

was last seen at $58.58 a barrel, up 1.16%, after Thursday's 5.7% fall that took it to the lowest in two months. futures rebounded 1.18% to $68.56 per barrel, after falling 4.6% in the previous session.

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https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/asian-shares-at-fourmonth-low-on-deepening-uschina-trade-war-1877855

2019-05-24 06:12:00Z
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Kamis, 23 Mei 2019

Why Apple Would Have the Inside Track on Buying Tesla - TheStreet.com

Apple (AAPL - Get Report)  would be the front runner amongst its fellow tech giants at making a successful bid to buy reeling automaker Tesla (TSLA - Get Report) , according to Gene Munster, founder of Loup Ventures and longtime Apple analyst. 

The potential scenario of Tesla being acquired attracted renewed attention this week when news broke that Apple reportedly bid $240 a share for Tesla back in 2013. Tesla shares have tumbled now to roughly $197 a share, although taking into account the additional shares Tesla has issued and the debt it's taken on means an acquisition now would still cost significantly more than it would have in 2013, as Real Money columnist Timothy Collins pointed out

Munster told TheStreet that if Tesla were to be bought now, he thinks there's a 50% chance that the buyer ends up being one of the deep-pocketed tech juggernauts with an interest in electric and autonomous vehicles -- Apple, Alphabet (GOOGL - Get Report) or Amazon (AMZN - Get Report) . And among those three, "I think it's probably 60% [it would be] Apple, 30% Google and 10% Amazon," Munster said. 

In a note on Thursday, Munster and fellow Loup analyst Will Thompson lowered their 2019 vehicle delivery estimates for Tesla by roughly 10% from 340,000 to 310,000 vehicles because of risks to its sales in China owing to the trade war between China and the U.S. 

Munster's case for Apple being the favorite to take out Tesla rests on three arguments: 

1. Apple Has a Good Fit With Transportation

"They have, first, an interest in transportation," Munster said. Apple is developing its own electric car project called "Titan," into which the tech behemoth is devoting significant research and development. Apple is somewhat behind other tech players in transportation and so may be willing to spend money on acquiring Tesla, Munster said.

Apple could also leverage its expertise in artificial intelligence to create a successful vehicle. Munster noted Apple has poached some former Tesla employees to work on AI, an element which is likely central to the future of transportation. "They've made progress in their efforts in AI, in part because of their hires," Munster said of Apple. AI has a natural application to help provide road vision for autonomous vehicles. 

So why not Alphabet, which also owns self-driving technology company Waymo, and is a leader in AI technology? "[Tesla] needs a very eloquent software solution," Munster said, adding that "the iPhone [OS] is more elegant than Android."

2. Apple Can Make Tesla Profitable

Tesla has not yet been able to consistently turn a profit, begging the question of how Apple could help it to make money. 

Apple would have big cost synergies by merging its AI and design workers with those of Tesla, eliminating the need to add lots of employees, according to Munster. Plus, "Apple has a more judicious management process [than Tesla's] that would bode well towards getting Tesla to profitability," Munster said. "I think you have systematic approach to securing supplies and manufacturing at scale." 

Munster estimated that 60% of the cost efficiencies of Apple buying Tesla would come from eliminating redundant employees and resources, and 40% from operating more efficiently.

3. Apple Has the Money

When asked whether Apple buying Tesla is financially feasible, Munster simply said "yes."

And when one examines the numbers, it's not hard to see why. Assuming a 20% premium over Tesla's current market price would bring the offer value to about $41.2 billion, while assuming Tesla's $9.8 billion in debt would bring the the total transaction value to about $51 billion.

For its part, Apple has a whopping $225 billion in cash on hand, debt of just $133 billion and net cash (cash minus debt) of $112 billion.

Apple, Google and Amazon are holdings in Jim Cramer's Action Alerts PLUS member club . Want to be alerted before Jim Cramer buys or sells these? Learn more now.

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https://www.thestreet.com/investing/stocks/apple-favorite-to-buy-tesla-14969589

2019-05-23 15:23:52Z
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Tesla is on track to snap a 6-day losing streak even as analysts' concerns mount (TSLA) - Business Insider

elon muskReuters/Bobby Yip; Business Insider/Dave Smith

  • Tesla shares turned higher on Thursday after selling off in early trading.
  • Shares jumped 2%, though they were still trading near their lowest level in 2 1/2 years.
  • The stock is coming off a six-day losing streak, fueled by analysts and investors' concerns about underlying demand, a worry that's plagued the stock for months.
  • Watch Tesla trade live.

Tesla's recent sell-off abated Thursday as shares turned higher after a six-day bloodbath. They hit a low of $186.23, their weakest since December 7, 2016, before jumping 2%.

The stock's losses over the past week came amid a slew of major Wall Street firms lowering their earnings expectations, price targets, and so-called bear-case targets.

Analysts' urgent commentary, paired with its former largest institutional shareholder dumping most of its stake, reflects a particularly troubling time for the electric-car maker that has long divided the investment community.

Read more: The investment giant that was once Tesla's biggest Wall Street backer cut its stake in half last year. Now it's dumped most of what was left.

Even the Baird analyst Ben Kallo, long one of the biggest Tesla bulls on Wall Street, earlier this week lowered his earnings expectations for the automaker and cut his price target for the second time in as many months. He maintained his "outperform" rating.

"Demand concerns, credibility questions, and messaging/communication (including a recent email announcing 'hard core' cost cuts) have weighed on TSLA shares in recent weeks, and we think it could take several weeks/ months for the narrative to shift," Kallo told clients on Tuesday, adding that the company's shareholder meeting in June could prove to be a catalyst for shares.

In the past week, analysts at Citi, Bank of America Merrill Lynch, Wedbush, and Morgan Stanley have all released scathing commentary about the automaker.

The Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas, who has been neutral on the stock for two years, reduced his bear-case price target to $10 from $97, citing concerns over waning consumer demand in China. Jonas has cut his base-case price target four times this year, a far cry from his once bullish posture.

And on Monday, the Wedbush analyst Dan Ives, who has quickly gone from one of the most vocal Tesla bulls to neutral, cut his price target to $230 from $275.

Elon Musk's automaker disappointed investors last month when it reported a larger-than-expected quarterly loss. The company said it expected to return to profitability in the third quarter and reduce its losses in the second quarter, a reversal from Musk's prior guidance.

Tesla shares have fallen 39% this year. The stock is on track for its worst annual performance on record.

Now read more Tesla coverage from Markets Insider and Business Insider:

THE MODEL 3 THAT NEVER WAS: Leaked supplier documents show how Tesla's cheapest car is different than originally planned

Tesla closes at a 2 1/2-year low after analyst who cut his price target for the 4th time this year warns it's facing a 'code red situation'

Warnings about Tesla are growing louder as Morgan Stanley slashes its worst-case scenario to $10 a share

Tesla shares.Markets Insider

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https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/tesla-stock-price-25-year-low-7th-day-losses-2019-5-1028225916

2019-05-23 14:48:45Z
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