Kamis, 09 Mei 2019

Stock futures fall as Trump says China 'broke the deal,' fueling trade war worries - CNBC

U.S. stock index futures were lower on Thursday morning after President Donald Trump said China "broke the deal" at a rally Wednesday evening, fueling worries the U.S. and China will be unable to hatch a trade agreement before new tariffs go into effect at midnight.

Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell about 184 points, indicating a negative open of more than 95 points. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq were also set to open lower. The Dow is down about 540 points and the S&P 500 has lost more than 2% this week after Trump threatened to raise tariffs on more Chinese goods over the weekend.

Shares of Intel fell another 2.5% in premarket on Thursday after sinking nearly 5% in the previous session as the chipmaker said it sees both revenue and earnings per share growing in the "single digit" percentage range over the next three years. BMO downgraded the stock to market perform from outperform on Thursday, saying it sees the stock "treading water at best."

"By the way, you see the tariffs we're doing? Because they broke the deal. They broke the deal," Trump said at a rally in Florida Wednesday evening. "So they're flying in, the vice premier tomorrow is flying in — good man — but they broke the deal. They can't do that, so they'll be paying."

China claimed it will retaliate if the higher levies are imposed. However, the Chinese delegation is still in Washington this week to negotiate a deal. Despite Trump's amped-up rhetoric, the White House claimed on Wednesday China still wants to make a deal, which kept the market temporary afloat.

Thursday is "a pivotal day," said Ed Mills, public policy analyst at Raymond James, in a note. "We believe Chinese officials will be looking to delay Friday's tariff increase in order to continue conversations as to the appropriate level of commitments in key areas. However, the market reaction over the last couple days gives Trump some leeway to maintain an aggressive tone."

Traders will also keep an eye on upcoming data releases. There will be international trade figures, weekly jobless claims, and producer price index numbers out at 8.30 a.m. ET.

In terms of earnings, Softbank, Norwegian Cruise Line, Booking Holdings, Dropbox, and News Corp. will be updating investors throughout the day.

— CNBC's Silvia Amaro contributed to this report.

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https://www.cnbc.com/2019/05/09/stock-market-us-china-trade-tensions-continue.html

2019-05-09 10:58:58Z
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Uber IPO: Is The Company Really Worth $90 Billion? - NPR

With its initial public offering on Friday, Uber hopes to raise billions of dollars, but analysts wonder when the ride-hailing company will turn a profit. Justin Sullivan/Getty Images hide caption

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Justin Sullivan/Getty Images

Uber will go public on Friday in a highly anticipated initial public offering that will be the largest since 2014 — and one of the biggest in U.S. history.

After speculation that the ride-hailing company could be valued at as high as $120 billion, Uber is now targeting a valuation of $80 billion to $90 billion. At the same time, it has never made a profit — and has instead been burning through cash at a prodigious rate.

Uber has grown massively in the decade since its founding and has footprints around the world. Its wild success has made Uber a household name — not just synonymous with ride-hailing but shorthand for any app that offers a service on demand: "Uber, but for laundry," "Uber, but for dog-walking."

And these days, Uber itself is the Uber for a lot more than ride-hailing. Uber Eats is Uber, but for takeout. Uber Freight is Uber, but for shipping. Jump is Uber, but for electric bikes and scooters.

"This is a company that's fighting a lot of battles on a lot of fronts," says Tom White, an analyst at D.A. Davidson.

It has been expensive for Uber to expand into all those new markets. And the company has burned through money while keeping rates low to compete with its numerous rivals.

Uber has mastered the art of rapid growth. But how can it pivot to become a profitable company?

"That's the $100 billion question," says Ygal Arounian, an equity analyst at Wedbush Securities.

"Uber is losing money, and you have to have a little bit of a vision to see them taking that revenue and start turning it into profit," he says.

Both Arounian and White are optimistic about Uber's chances — eventually.

Uber has sheer scale on its side, giving it a balance sheet that will let it wait out competitors. And once rivals have dropped out or consolidated, Uber can stop spending so much on discounts and coupons (thus effectively raising prices for users) and start bringing in more money.

Arounian also notes that there's an advantage to being the Uber for everything. If drivers work for multiple Uber platforms — for example, for ride-hailing and for Uber Eats — they can fill a day more efficiently.

"During peak driving times, that driver is picking people up and dropping them off," Arounian says. "Lunchtime kicks in — they're dropping off food. Switch back on during the evening rush hour to drop people off, and then they could do dinner."

That gives Uber an edge over companies that offer just one service. Cut some expenses, find a way to spend less on insurance, eventually roll out self-driving cars, and you may have a recipe for profits, Arounian says.

There's reason to be skeptical. To make this recipe work, Uber has to crush a small army of competitors. And when it comes to self-driving cars, there are huge obstacles, including not just technical challenges but also a maze of regulatory hurdles.

Analysts who believe in Uber's future profits emphasize that they're talking about the long term.

In the meantime, aside from the minor detail that it burns billions of dollars each year, Uber has other challenges.

Drivers have complained about their pay. On Wednesday, drivers went on strike and protested in cities across the United States.

James Hicks was on strike in Los Angeles. He noted that Uber recently cut driver per-mile pay by 25% in that city.

"My main concern is making sure that each and every individual driver makes enough money to put food on the table, to pay the bills," Hicks said, standing at the protest at Los Angeles International Airport.

And some drivers have called to be treated like employees, not contractors, which would hurt Uber financially.

Then there is Uber's dented brand. The company was long famous for openly flouting laws. Its corporate culture was toxic. Women who worked at Uber have reported rampant sexual harassment.

Uber ousted co-founder Travis Kalanick as CEO and replaced him with Dara Khosrowshahi, who has been tasked with cleaning up shop — and, with some of Uber's reputation restored, taking the company public.

As the IPO approaches, Uber has tempered expectations slightly. Lyft's IPO in March is a bit of a cautionary tale.

Uber's smaller ride-sharing rival set an ambitious price for its shares. After an initial pop, Lyft's stock slid dramatically. It has dropped nearly 30% from its IPO price.

As Uber prepares to follow Lyft into the stock market, it's not aiming for a $120 billion valuation, like some analysts had previously floated.

Still, with a total value of $80 billion to $90 billion, this will be the largest IPO in five years.

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https://www.npr.org/2019/05/09/721562757/ubers-eye-popping-ipo-approaches-is-it-really-worth-90-billion

2019-05-09 09:02:00Z
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Rabu, 08 Mei 2019

Hackers Are Shuffling Binance's Stolen Bitcoin - CoinDesk

A team at blockchain services company Coinfirm has been watching the erratic movements of the bitcoin associated with $40 million stolen in the latest Binance breach.

At 4:11 AM on May 8 the hacker or hackers moved 1214 BTC ($7.16 million) to new addresses and then moved another 1337 “to 2 new addresses held by the hacker.”

This is the fourth major exchange hack of the year, following Cryptopia, DragonEx and Bithumb.


Image via Coinfirm

The hack took place at 5:15:24PM on May 7 when hackers dragged over 7,000 bitcoin from a single Binance hot wallet into in a number of smaller wallets in a single transaction. The hackers then moved small amounts into smaller wallets. Given the nature of the BTC blockchain it’s easy to see where each Binance bitcoin is going but it is difficult to perform real forensics on the wallets in order to understand who – or what – created them.

Why the brisk back and forth movement? Writer and blockchain analyst Amy Castor thinks the hackers are trying to erase their tracks.

“Money laundering 101: breaking the transactions up into smaller and smaller amounts making them more and more difficult to track,” she said.


Image via Coinfirm

Image via Shutterstock

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https://www.coindesk.com/hackers-are-shuffling-binances-stolen-bitcoin

2019-05-08 17:56:00Z
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Rush-hour Uber and Lyft driver strike was a flop in NYC - New York Post

Ride-hailing strike? What ride-hailing strike?

A driver strike that was planned for Wednesday-morning rush hour against ride-sharing services like Uber and Lyft appeared to be a flop in New York City, as cars appeared plentiful and surge pricing was scarce.

The New York Taxi Workers Alliance had hoped to get the participation of 10,000 drivers between 7 a.m. and 9 a.m. to protest the fact that drivers are getting left out of Uber’s planned initial public offering on Thursday, which is expected to value the company at $90 billion.

But an Uber driver that picked up a Post reporter at 7:30 a.m. in Astoria, Queens for a trip to Midtown Manhattan claimed he hadn’t heard about the strike, and was unsure he would have participated if he had.

“If it made a difference, I would’ve done it,” said the driver, whose Uber profile identified him as “Stiv”. “But I don’t know what would change for us, IPO or no IPO.”

The driver even opened up his Lyft app to see if prices were surging, but told The Post that it seemed to be an ordinary morning.

Eliza Bates, a spokeswoman for the New York Taxi Workers Alliance, told The Post in an email following the two-hour strike that 10,000 drivers “really” did participate. She failed to respond, however, when asked why the strike had no significant effect on service.

Organizers, who also planned strikes in Boston, Washington DC and Chicago on Wednesday morning, as well as Los Angeles and San Diego, Calif., had claimed that protesters would be holding banners and leafleting at the Queens entrance of the 59th Street Bridge. But at 7:45 a.m. there was no discernible demonstration.

Twitter traffic of the strike’s hashtag, #UberLyftStrike, was low, with many users posting about the strike’s low profile.

“So I was curious about the Uber and Lyft strike impact, it’s surprisingly low!” one user posted. “Looks like many drivers have ‘crossed the picket line.’ Peak hour wait times are roughly normal on both platforms, only 10%-15% yellow cabs are vacant, the streets are still congested.”

Former Taxi and Limousine Commissioner Matt Daus, who now works in transportation law, told The Post that the strike appeared to be “mostly symbolic.”

“It remains to be seen what will happen,” Daus said. “I think if they’re smart, they’ll listen to what the drivers have to say.”

Uber Chief Executive Dara Khosrowshahi, hired to help guide the company past a series of scandals and manage the IPO, has promised to treat drivers better. Uber is paying more than a million drivers about $300 million in one-time bonuses, for instance, and has changed policies such as allowing riders to tip.

“Whether it’s being able to track your earnings or stronger insurance protections, we’ll continue working to improve the experience for and with drivers,” the company said.

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https://nypost.com/2019/05/08/rush-hour-uber-and-lyft-driver-strike-was-a-flop-in-nyc/

2019-05-08 14:16:00Z
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Americans have 'incredible' misconceptions about Social Security - Fox Business

Older Americans – including current and future retirees – appear to have a meaningful lack of knowledge about Social Security and how it can boost their retirement income streams, according to a new report from the Nationwide Retirement Institute.

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“What’s a little disappointing is that there continues to be an incredible number of misconceptions about Social Security,” Tina Ambrozy, president of financial distribution at Nationwide, told FOX Business. “The report showed that people really don’t understand the way Social Security works … [down to] even understanding what your income would be.”

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People tend to grossly overestimate the size of their Social Security checks, the results showed. Future retirees expect to receive $1,805 in monthly benefits – but yet retirees currently collecting receive $1,408, on average – a 28 percent difference.

Ambrozy said that disconnect is “alarming,” but findings also reveal that some people believe if you begin collecting at age 62, your check will actually increase when you reach age 65. In fact, the reduction of benefits for those who claim at 62 is 25 percent, 20 percent for those that claim at 63, 13.3 percent at age 64 and 6.7 percent at 65.

The average age current retirees started collecting was 62. However, delaying when you collect, when possible, can actually increase a worker’s benefit by as much as 32 percent.

Meanwhile, about 25 percent of people think they can live on Social Security alone – even though the program was designed to be supplemental, not the primary form of retirement income.

As previously reported by FOX Business, the annual trustees report forecast that Social Security will not be able to pay full benefits by 2035, at which time trustees predict the program’s reserve funds will be depleted. At that time, only 80 percent of the benefits will be payable.

Only 8 percent of people were able to identify the factors that determine the maximum benefit an individual can receive – including work history, age, benefits start date and marital status.

The lack of knowledge – and planning – has barely changed in the six years Nationwide has been conducting the survey, Ambrozy noted.

While a little less than half of people said they were confident or very confident in their Social Security knowledge, when asked specific questions, people didn’t always know the answers.

Only 30 percent of people know that if they don’t work for at least 35 years, their benefit will be reduced. Only a slightly higher percentage of people knew that someone earning $150,000 pays as much in Social Security taxes as a millionaire. Less than half of respondents knew Social Security is protected against inflation, while about one-third of people thought benefits are tax-free.

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Working with a financial adviser, however, has proven to help. According to the survey, those who worked with an expert saw 15 percent greater lifetime income benefits – $1,551 versus $1,324.

The survey was conducted online Feb. 11-21 among more than 1,300 people, including pre-retirees (ages 50-plus), recent retirees and people who have been retired for at least 10 years.

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https://www.foxbusiness.com/personal-finance/americans-misconceptions-social-security

2019-05-08 12:50:27Z
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Uber drivers strike: drivers are striking across the world as Uber prepares IPO - Vox.com

Uber and Lyft drivers have been fighting for years for the right to unionize and negotiate better pay. So far, they’ve failed — but they’ve found another way to flex their power.

A loose network of ride-share drivers are on strike today, from San Diego all the way to São Paulo and Sydney. They’ve urged drivers to boycott ride-sharing applications for 24 hours Wednesday and to instead spend the day picketing to demand more money. They also want cities to regulate ride-hailing platforms the way New York City does.

The work stoppage comes two days before Uber’s long-awaited public debut Friday on the stock market, and that’s no coincidence. Drivers want company executives to know they are really, really unhappy.

Uber has been cutting driver pay rates in major cities to boost its bottom line as it prepares for its initial public offerings (IPO). That has infuriated drivers, who say they were already struggling to make ends meet. They are particularly incensed by the fact that Uber investors are expected to reap millions (even billions) of dollars from the IPO because of their labor.

“This is not fair; something has to change,” Karim Bayumi, a Los Angeles Uber driver, said in a video posted on Twitter. “What’s the point of flexibility if you have to work so much more, without getting paid more or overtime?”

Bayumi, who drives full time to support a family of three, is one of the drivers organizing the strike in LA with Rideshare Drivers United, an unofficial group of Uber and Lyft drivers advocating for policy changes. Other groups, like the Boston Independent Drivers Guild and Chicago Rideshare Advocates, are coordinating similar strikes.

What started with a call on social media has since spread to about a dozen US cities, including Atlanta, Philadelphia, Minneapolis, San Francisco, Washington, DC, and Dayton, Ohio. News of the strike has even inspired Uber drivers across the world. Groups of drivers in Kenya, Nigeria, Chile, Costa Rica, and the United Kingdom are striking too.

Each group has its own set of demands, but most want a firm cap on Uber’s commission from each ride, which varies widely but averages about 33 percent. Drivers in the US also want the company to reverse recent pay cuts, and to guarantee drivers $15 to $20 an hour in take-home pay. Right now, they earn an average of $10 to $12 an hour in the US, after expense, according to several researchers.

An Uber spokesperson didn’t comment on the strike but pointed out to Vox that the company is giving drivers bonuses ahead of the IPO.

“Drivers are at the heart of our service — we can’t succeed without them — and thousands of people come into work at Uber every day focused on how to make their experience better, on and off the road,” he wrote in a statement to Vox. “Whether it’s more consistent earnings, stronger insurance protections or fully funded four-year degrees for drivers or their families, we’ll continue working to improve the experience for and with drivers.”

It’s unclear how many drivers plan to take part in Wednesday’s stoppage, and whether they will change anything. Yet the event’s swift spread to major cities across the world marks a pivotal moment for the so-called gig economy, which relies heavily on workers with no labor protections or collective bargaining rights. Gig economy workers are starting to recognize they can organize and exert pressure even without a formal labor union.

Uber’s profit model, like all others in the gig economy, involves much more than providing a popular service to customers. It depends on all the money saved from skirting US labor laws.

By classifying drivers as independent contractors instead of employees, Uber doesn’t need to pay certain taxes, benefits, overtime, or minimum wages to tens of thousands of drivers. As self-employed contractors, drivers don’t have a legal right to form labor unions and negotiate contracts either.

Uber drivers have spent more than six years fighting the company in court, saying they’ve been intentionally misclassified. They argue that drivers should be considered employees because the company has so much control over their workday, including strict rules on their vehicle conditions, what rides they can take, and which routes to take.

Uber has fought back, maintaining that drivers are not employees because they set their own schedules and provide their own cars.

So far, the issue has not been resolved.

Last month, Uber settled the main court case with 13,600 Uber drivers, agreeing to pay them $20 million, but without changing their status as independent contractors. The other 350,000 drivers who were part of the initial class-action lawsuit had signed mandatory arbitration agreements, so a federal judge is requiring them to pursue their cases in a private forum, where they are less likely to win their case.

Any challenge to the drivers’ status as contractors threatens Uber’s bottom line, which is another reason the strikes are so significant.

Uber has been upfront with investors about the risk of a labor revolt. In a new Securities and Exchange Commission filing, Uber acknowledges that giving drivers the same legal rights as employees would “fundamentally change” the company’s financial model:

If, as a result of legislation or judicial decisions, we are required to classify Drivers as employees ... we would incur significant additional expenses for compensating Drivers, potentially including expenses associated with the application of wage and hour laws (including minimum wage, overtime, and meal and rest period requirements), employee benefits, social security contributions, taxes, and penalties.

It’s worth reemphasizing this: Uber doesn’t want to pay drivers to take 15-minute rest breaks every few hours because it would cost too much, even though all US employers are required to give hourly workers paid breaks under federal law.

In the filing, the company says that dissatisfied drivers could become a business liability, as recent protests in India, the United Kingdom, and the United States have interrupted business on the platform. Instead of outlining ways to make drivers happy, Uber suggests it will just get worse.

“As we aim to reduce driver incentives to improve our financial performance, we expect Driver dissatisfaction will generally increase,” the company stated.

That dissatisfaction is leading Uber and Lyft drivers to organize.

In March, hundreds of Uber and Lyft drivers refused to pick up customers for an entire day — part of a one-day strike to protest the company’s recent decision to slash pay rates for drivers in the area.

Uber had cut its per-mile pay by 25 percent in Los Angeles County and parts of Orange County. That means drivers are now earning 60 cents per mile instead of 80 cents. That decision pushed drivers, who were already scraping by, over the edge.

Hundreds of them swarmed the streets, chanting and picketing outside Uber’s office in suburban LA. They asked customers to use public transportation instead of using the apps.

“Help us end this neo-indentured servitude,” Sinakhone Keodara, one of the drivers organizing the strike, tweeted that day.

A spokesperson for Uber told me at the time that the company had revamped its pay formula so that drivers will earn about the same amount that they did before Uber last increased pay rates in September.

The latest strike comes at a key moment for the ride-hailing industry. Lyft recently launched its IPO, which converted the platform into a publicly traded company. Uber is next, and its initial public offering is expected to create a financial windfall for dozens of early investors who will turn into overnight millionaires. Meanwhile, drivers say they can barely make ends meet on poverty wages.

Bayumi and other drivers helped organize Wednesday’s strike with Rideshare Drivers United. The group has been active in Los Angeles for a few years and has organized strikes before, but their impact was limited by the small group of members. That has changed recently.

Within the past two years, the group has gone from 300 drivers to about 3,000. As part of their strike, drivers demanded that Uber reverse the 25 percent rate cut and guarantee drivers a $28-per-hour minimum rate.

That didn’t happen, but that doesn’t mean the pressure is dying down. Drivers in New York City have proven that forming labor unions isn’t the only way for workers to secure better pay.

The explosion of ride-hailing apps has been great for the startups’ investors — but not so great for actual drivers. Researchers say drivers in the US earn about $12 an hour, after deducting car expenses and gasoline.

In New York City, the unrestricted growth of these companies put serious financial strain on the city’s taxi drivers and has made it hard for all drivers to compete and earn a decent living.

Economists at the New School and the University of California Berkeley published a report in July with some limited pay data, and discovered something alarming: Driving for ride-hailing apps in New York City is not really a part-time gig for people who want to earn extra cash.

More than half of their drivers are ferrying around passengers on a full-time basis, and about half of all drivers are supporting families with children on that income. But their earnings are so low that 40 percent of drivers qualified for Medicaid, and about 18 percent qualified for food stamps.

The New School report showed that the average hourly wage for app-based drivers in New York was about $12. “The app companies could easily absorb an increase in driver pay with a minimal fare adjustment and little inconvenience to passengers,” they wrote.

The report helped drivers persuade city officials in December to pass the nation’s first minimum pay rate for drivers working with the four largest app-based firms: Uber, Lyft, Juno, and Via.

Starting in January, ride-hailing companies were required to start paying drivers around $17.22 per hour (after expenses) — about $5 more per hour than the previous average of $11.90 per hour, according to the Independent Drivers Guild, which represents about 70,000 Uber, Lyft, Juno, and Via drivers in the city. The new pay rate is calculated per ride, but the guild expects it to give full-time drivers an extra $9,600 a year. (Lyft and Juno are now suing the city, arguing that the calculated rate favors Uber, but said they are using a different formula to meet the minimum hourly pay rate.)

Because Uber and Lyft drivers are considered independent contractors and not employees, they are not subject to the city’s minimum hourly wage, which is now $15 per hour. But the new rules essentially get around that loophole and ensure that drivers are earning at least the minimum wage, with a few dollars extra to cover payroll taxes and some paid time off.

Uber and Lyft have pushed back against the pay increase, saying it would hurt competition and discourage drivers from taking riders out of Manhattan. The current lawsuits suggest that Lyft and Juno are not done fighting it (Uber is not part of the lawsuits).

But if there’s any moment for drivers to demand more, it’s now. Companies are having a harder and harder time finding workers to fill jobs, which means the competition for labor is getting fierce.

The US economy is currently experiencing a major labor shortage. There just aren’t enough workers to fill all the available jobs.

For nearly a year now, the number of open jobs each month has been higher than the number of people looking for work — the first time that’s happened since the Department of Labor began tracking job turnover two decades ago.

At the end of January, the US economy had 7.6 million unfilled jobs, but only 6.5 million people were looking for work, according to data released earlier this month by the US Department of Labor. This was the 11th straight month that the number of job openings was higher than the number of job seekers. And each month, the gap has grown.

Employers have been complaining about a shortage of skilled workers in recent years, particularly workers with advanced degrees in STEM (science, technology, engineering, and math) fields. Nearly every industry now has a labor shortage, but here’s the twist: Employers are having a harder time filling blue-collar positions than professional positions that require a college education.

The hardest-to-find workers are no longer computer engineers; instead, they are home health care aides, restaurant workers, and hotel staff. The shift is happening because more and more Americans are going to college and taking professional jobs, while working-class baby boomers are retiring en masse.

So, for once, low-skilled workers have the most leverage in the current labor market. Uber and Lyft drivers won’t have a hard time finding other jobs in today’s economy — which means there’s no better time for working-class Americans to demand better wages, benefits, schedules, and work conditions.

The Uber strikes will also test how much leverage gig workers have in making these demands, and how effective it is to organize without a labor union.

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https://www.vox.com/2019/5/8/18535367/uber-drivers-strike-2019-cities

2019-05-08 12:40:00Z
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Stock Futures Slip On China Trade War Worries - Investor's Business Daily

Stocks quickly trimmed early losses Wednesday, as concerns eased over an escalating China trade war. Meanwhile earnings news sent a number of stocks — including Match Group (MTCH), Avalara (AVLR) and Electronic Arts (EA) — sharply higher.

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The Nasdaq dropped 0.4%, then narrowed losses and was toggling in and out of narrow gains. The S&P 500 cut its decline to a fraction. The Dow Jones industrials traded almost level, just below the index's 50-day moving average.

Tuesday's after-hours reporting session sent Electronic Arts and IBD Leaderboard stock Match Group up sharply after their reports. 2U Inc. (TWOU) and 3D Systems (DDD) posted double-digit declines. The closely watched first public report from Lyft (LYFT) was mixed, holding the stock to a 0.5% advance in early trade. Cloud-based IPO Avalara (AVLR) rocketed after its report late Tuesday.

Wednesday's earnings reports triggered strong early gains by Siemens (SIEGY) and Bunge Group (BG).  TripAdvisor (TRIP) fell 7%.

Chip stocks were mixed, with Qorvo (QRVO) and Macom Technology (MTSI) soaring on earnings results, while Microchip Technology (MCHP) took a hard early hit following a soft fiscal first-quarter outlook.

Beyond Meat (BYND), also an IBD Leaderboard name, traded more than 3% higher.

China trade-sensitive Walmart (WMT) fell 1.2%, the worst loss among Dow Jones stocks. Dow Jones peer Merck (MRK) gained 0.4% after announcing positive clinical trial results.

Microchip and China's Netease (NTES) sunk to the bottom of the Nasdaq. Electronic Arts topped the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 indexes.

Earnings News: Match Group, Electronic Arts

IBD Leaderboard stock Match Group grabbed an early 7% gain, moving beyond buy range after the open. The stock ended Tuesday in a buy range, just above a 60.02 cup-with-handle buy point.

A 28% earnings jump and a 14% rise in revenue both topped analyst estimates for Match. Subscriber growth for its Tinder dating app also topped forecasts.

Video game pioneer Electronic Arts rallied nearly 5% after reporting big revenue and earnings beats in its fiscal fourth quarter. The company's outlook was mixed, however, with first-quarter earnings and revenue guidance well below analyst targets, while full-year earnings were far above expectations. The stock is not near a buy point, but it is positioned for a test of resistance at its converged 10- and 40-week moving averages — which have halted the stock's progress since August.

China Trade War: Nets Broken?

Trade negotiators plan to launch back into efforts on Thursday to end the U.S.-China trade war. China's chief trade official, Vice-Premier Liu He, is in Washington to lead China's side of the talks. Unlike a week ago, hopes are not high. Although news reports early Wednesday quoted President Donald Trump saying that Chinese negotiators told the White House they intended to make a deal on trade. The Trump administration has committed to a tariff increase on Friday if China shows no flexibility. China's state media, meanwhile, reports Beijing has reached its limit on concessions, and is prepared for increased tariffs.

One expert quoted by the South China Morning Post Wednesday said China has dug in at its current level of concessions, and increased tariffs will encourage no further compromises, only deteriorated negotiations. "It will be a situation where fishes are dead and nets are broken," said Liu Weidong, a U.S. affairs expert at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences.

China markets took heavy losses Wednesday, with the Shanghai Composite down 1.1% and Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index dropping 1.2%. Japan succumbed to the mood as safe-haven trading drove the yen higher, with Tokyo's Nikkei 225 down 1.5% and breaking below key levels of support.

In Europe, markets turned mixed in afternoon trade. London's FTSE 100 slipped 0.2%. The CAC-40 in Paris shed its losses and gained 0.1%. Frankfurt's DAX also reversed early losses, rising 0.4% in late trade.

Dow Jones Snaps Support, Faces Test

Despite some bullish signals on Monday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average on Tuesday sliced below its 50-day moving average. Whereas the index edged ever closer to its first new high since October, it now faces the task of retaking support at its 50-day line. A look at a daily or weekly chart shows that line acting as a level of resistance for the index, stalling rally attempts in November and December.

The S&P 500 found support at its 50-day line Tuesday, while the Nasdaq remained well above the line. But the Nasdaq now has declined in five of the past six sessions. The index staged a similar, five-day pullback in March, after the European Central Bank pointed to a weaker economic outlook. That pullback broke support at the index's 200-day line, then reversed as the Nasdaq ran 10.4% higher over the next eight weeks.

For more detailed analysis of the current stock market and the status of its uptrend, study the Big Picture.

IPO Watch: Avalar, Beyond Meat Surge

Aside from Lyft, early IPO action was mixed, with Avalara scorching 23% higher and Beyond Meat (BYND) up almost 7% in early trade. Zoom Video (ZM) gained 4%, while Zscaler (ZS) added 1.3%. Jumia Technologies (JMIA) slipped 2%.

Avalara spiked to fresh highs, clearing its post-IPO watermarks from June. Shares are up now up 73% since clearing an IPO base in January, and trading 207% above their initial offering price. The automated tax-program software developer reported a loss of 1 cent per share, vs. views for a 16-cent loss. Revenue surged a stronger-than-expected 38%, and second-quarter revenue guidance was above analyst forecasts.

Find Alan R. Elliott on Twitter @IBD_Aelliott

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https://www.investors.com/market-trend/stock-market-today/stock-futures-slip-on-china-trade-war-dow-jones-stocks/

2019-05-08 12:22:30Z
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