https://www.cnn.com/2019/04/24/cars/carlos-ghosn-release/index.html
2019-04-25 08:55:00Z
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Yoko Wakatsuki contributed to this report.
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U.S. stocks traded in a tight range Wednesday, following record-setting gains the day before, on mixed quarterly reports and concerns about the strength of the global economy. The Nasdaq Composite hit an intra-day record high and was on track for its second straight record close.
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The declines came as investors eyed German business sentiment, which dropped in April, indicating that Europe’s biggest economy continues to weaken. Investors also gauged the possibility that Beijing may slow the pace of policy easing following a report that China's economy posted a surprisingly strong first-quarter growth.
Corporate earnings were mixed before Wednesday's opening bell. Caterpillar reported record first-quarter results amid higher sales, results that could ease some concerns over the prospects of a global economic slowdown given the firm’s sprawling international operations. Revenue at the Deerfield, Illinois-based company rose to $13.5 billion in the three months through March, beating analyst projections. Meanwhile, profits were $1.9 billion, or $3.25 per share, higher than Wall Street anticipated.
On the other hand, Boeing earnings fell in the first quarter as the beleaguered Chicago-based manufacturer looks to overcome the fallout after one of its most popular planes was involved in two recent crashes, leading to a global halt in operations and hiatus on new orders. However, shares jumped because investors got a specific figure, $1 billion, on how much the aerospace giant's 737 Max jet crisis will cost the commpany.
AT&T shares dropped after the company reported first-quarter earnings of $4.1 billion. Adjusted earnings per share were 86 cents per share, topping analyst expectations. However, revenue was $44.83 billion, below expectations.
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Shares of Anadarko Petroleum shot higher after Occidental Petroleum submitted a bid for the crude oil and natural gas producer that tops an offer Chevron made last week.
Ticker | Security | Last | Change | %Chg |
---|---|---|---|---|
APC | ANADARKO PETROLEUM CORP. | 71.61 | +7.62 | +11.91% |
BA | BOEING COMPANY | 376.70 | +2.68 | +0.72% |
CAT | CATERPILLAR INC. | 138.64 | -3.39 | -2.39% |
T | AT&T INC. | 30.64 | -1.47 | -4.56% |
On Tuesday, stocks closed at an all-time high as better-than-expected quarterly profits from some of the largest companies encouraged investors. The benchmark S&P 500 index rose 17 percent, its best start to a year since 1987, while the Nasdaq has gained 22 percent, its best start since 1991. The Dow remains about half a percentage point from its record last October.
Tuesday’s move to a record high for the benchmark S&P 500 index and the Nasdaq index comes less than six months after a sharp decline in late December, which led the S&P 500 to its worst annual performance since 2008 But stocks quickly recovered in the past three months as the Federal Reserve stopped raising interest rates and the Trump administration said it was making progress on a trade deal with China.
Explanations for the record-setting session vary, but Greg McBride, Bankrate chief financial analyst, said Wednesday the Federal Reserve's capitulation on rate hikes is key.
“Fed Chair Jerome Powell removed the barricade and opened the expressway to S&P 2930 when he first uttered the word ‘patient’ on January 4. And sure enough, investors barreled right on through, pushing the market up nearly 20 percent since," McBride said in a statement.
“The questions will be asked, 'Is now the time to get in?' or 'Is now the time to get out?' Look at the big picture -- the economy is in solid shape, the labor market is the tightest in 50 years and getting tighter, and interest rates are low. But this market is not a bargain-hunter’s paradise. Be prepared for a return of volatility and for returns to be harder-earned than what we’ve seen thus far in 2019. The stock market may have returned to record highs, but don’t neglect other parts of your portfolio. Cash currently earns more than the rate of inflation and is both a good diversifier and an attractive parking place while seeking out compelling values.”
Ticker | Security | Last | Change | %Chg |
---|---|---|---|---|
I:DJI | DOW JONES AVERAGES | 26607.87 | -48.52 | -0.18% |
SP500 | S&P 500 | 2930.25 | -3.43 | -0.12% |
I:COMP | NASDAQ COMPOSITE INDEX | 8115.351072 | -5.47 | -0.07% |
Analysts said prospects for further equity gains appear strong.
“With the S&P and Nasdaq hitting new highs, the market recovery from the downturn at the end of last year is now complete, and despite the economic concerns, investors have clearly signaled they expect continued growth. With markets breaking out again, the likelihood of further gains is high, especially if earnings continue to come in ahead of expectations,” Brad McMillan, chief investment Officer for Commonwealth Financial Network, said. “Many of the concerns that took markets down in the fourth quarter have faded. The Mueller report was less damaging than feared; Brexit has turned from tragedy to farce; and for all the worries about growth and corporate earnings, both seem to be beating expectations. With the passing of much of the worry, markets may be now free to keep moving higher.”
Other analysts said the pace of the current rally could signal higher volatility.
We’ve maintained that the late-2018 sell-off was overdone, and we see a compelling case for equities near these levels based on sound economic fundamentals," Ryan Detrick, senior market strategist for LPL Financial. "However, the recovery has been arguably a bit fast considering some of the reasons for the decline have yet to be resolved. We think the S&P 500 could eventually move higher and make a run at our 3,000 fair value target, but we wouldn’t be surprised to see volatility pick up over the next few months."
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Crude oil prices for U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI) were fractionally lower at $66.25 per barrel. The slight pullback in WTI prices came after the Energy Information Agency said crude oil inventories rose by an unexpectedly large 5.5 million barrels at the end of last week.
WTI is hovering just below a 6-month high touched Tuesday on supply concerns in reaction to Monday’s announcement by the U.S. that it would end sanctions that allowed some nations to import Iranian oil. The markets were already nervous about tight supplies resulting from output cuts by OPEC, Russia and others.
The 10-year Treasury yield, which moves in the opposite direction of its price, slipped fractionally to 2.52 percent. The decline came after Ifo Institute data showed a business confidence in Germany declining more than expected in April, sliding to the lowest level since 2016, according to Dow Jones. Separately, a report indicated that confidence among French manufacturers came in lower than expected. Bond prices also got a lift from the Bank of Canada, which said the weakening outlook for domestic and global growth has caused it to put aside its bias toward raising interest rates.
China’s Shanghai Composite closed up 0.09 percent, the Hang Seng finished off 0.53 percent and Japan’s Nikkei 225 ended down 0.27 percent.
Britain’s FTSE 100 was off 0.55 percent, France’s CAC 40 was down 0.34 percent and Germany’s DAX rose 0.66 percent.
The stock market was roughly flat on Wednesday morning, with a high volume of results on the earnings front keeping major benchmarks from making big moves. Just after 11:30 a.m. EDT, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES:^DJI) was down 9 points to 26,647. The S&P 500 (SNPINDEX:^GSPC) was up less than 1 point to 2,934, while the Nasdaq Composite (NASDAQINDEX:^IXIC) picked up 13 points to 8,134.
One of the most anticipated financial reports came from aerospace giant Boeing (NYSE:BA), which has labored under the strain of having had its 737 MAX aircraft grounded across the globe in the wake of two major fatal crashes. Meanwhile, Occidental Petroleum (NYSE:OXY) decided that it wouldn't give up on its aspirations to acquire Anadarko Petroleum (NYSE:APC), making a hostile bid in an effort to throw a wrench into Chevron's (NYSE:CVX) merger plans.
Shares of Boeing were higher by 1% after the aircraft manufacturer reported its first-quarter financial results. Boeing's numbers revealed greater exposure to the events of the past several months than many investors had expected, including a 2% year-over-year drop in revenue that helped contribute to 13% declines in both net income and core earnings per share.
From a financial standpoint, Boeing noted that lower deliveries of 737 aircraft than expected more than offset the upward effect of higher volume in its defense and services segments. The manufacturer did manage to deliver 149 commercial aircraft during the period, but that was down by nearly a fifth from the same period a year ago.
Yet investors seemed to take heart from a couple of developments. First, Boeing said that it's "making steady progress" in certifying a software update for the 737 MAX that's intended to resolve the issues that are believed to have contributed to the two recent crashes. As CEO Dennis Muilenburg explained, "We are focused on safety, returning the 737 MAX to service, and earning and re-earning the trust and confidence of customers, regulators, and the flying public." Also, backlog levels remain healthy at $487 billion, reflecting the resiliency of Boeing's order book.
Even so, some investors are concerned that Boeing chose to withhold any further guidance on financial results and suspend its stock repurchase program. Boeing's balance sheet is strong and has plenty of liquidity, but the aircraft manufacturer appears to be preparing for massive settlement payments that could force it to tap into its cash reserves.
Shares of Occidental Petroleum dropped 3% following the energy company's decision to make a hostile bid to acquire Anadarko Petroleum. Anadarko's stock jumped 12% in the wake of the announcement as shareholders weighed the potential for a bidding war between Occidental and Chevron, which had previously made its own friendly acquisition bid.
Under the terms of the new deal, Occidental would pay $76 per share in cash and stock to Anadarko shareholders, split half and half with $38 in cash and 0.6094 shares of Occidental stock. The offer values Anadarko at roughly $38 billion, or $57 billion when you include the assumption of debt. Occidental termed its offer as a "superior proposal" to Chevron's bid, which included just $16.25 per share in cash and 0.3869 shares of Chevron stock for every Anadarko share.
Occidental CEO Vicki Hollub highlighted the complementary nature of the two companies' assets, as well as setting out the history that Occidental has had in pursuing Anadarko. The deal would create a powerhouse in the Permian Basin with the potential to reach the scale of a global energy leader.
However, industry analysts are skeptical that the hostile bid will win out. The synergies between Anadarko and Chevron are even more compelling in many investors' eyes, and that could lead to shareholders choosing Chevron even with Occidental offering a 20% premium to its rival's bid. Given the rise in Anadarko's stock above the value of the Chevron bid, though, at least some shareholders are hoping for a bidding war to erupt that could boost their profits from an eventual deal even further.
Shares of Anadarko Petroleum (NYSE:APC) surged more than 11% by 9:45 a.m. EDT on Wednesday after rival Occidental Petroleum (NYSE:OXY) took its offer to acquire the oil company public. Occidental is bidding $76 per share in cash and stock for Anadarko, which trumps Chevron's (NYSE:CVX) $65-per-share agreement to acquire the company.
Occidental Petroleum confirmed recent reports that it had been trying to acquire Anadarko Petroleum. The company made public a letter to Anadarko's board, which stated that it had presented three acquisition proposals to the company since late March, each one superior to Chevron's $65-per-share transaction. Its most recent offer was for $76 per share -- comprised of 40% cash and 60% stock -- which it made the day before Anadarko agreed to Chevron's proposal. The company reiterated that offer in a letter to Anadarko's board, though it increased the cash component to 50% of the deal's value.
Occidental not only believes it's offering Anadarko a superior value but that the combination makes more compelling strategic and financial sense. For starters, Occidental thinks it can extract more value out of Anadarko's position in the Permian due to its best-in-class operations. On top of that, the combination would generate $3.5 billion in cost savings and other synergies, which is $1.5 billion more than Chevron estimates it can extract from the deal.
In addition to making its offer public, CEO Vicki Hollub went on CNBC to state Occidental Petroleum's case. She said: "We are the right acquirer for Anadarko Petroleum because we can get the most out of the shale." Hollub also downplayed analysts' perception that Anadarko was a less-than-ideal strategic fit for Occidental due to its operations in the Gulf of Mexico and offshore Africa, which better align with Chevron's portfolio. She noted that these assets only comprise 15% of the deal's value so they weren't as material as it may appear.
By taking its offer public, Occidental Petroleum made it clear that it's not giving up on its pursuit of Anadarko. That could yield one of the following potential outcomes:
Given Anadarko's rally today, investors seem to think that one of the latter two alternatives seems more likely.
Stocks traded slightly higher on Wednesday as Wall Street also digested another batch of corporate earnings.
The Nasdaq Composite rose 0.2% to hit an intraday record high. The S&P 500 climbed 0.1% while the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 16 points.
The tech-heavy Nasdaq reached its milestone after notching a record closing high on Tuesday, along with the S&P 500. The two indexes were boosted by strong corporate earnings results from companies like United Technologies, Coca-Cola and Twitter.
The move came less than six months after a massive drop in December, which led to Wall Street's worst year since the financial crisis. But a pivot by the Federal Reserve in monetary policy away from higher rates and the cooling of trade tensions between China and the U.S. helped stocks rally from those lows.
Technology led the comeback, rising more than 36% since Christmas Eve. Xerox is the best-performing stock in the sector since then, rising about 80%.
"Right now, it feels like there's some FOMO going on," said Christian Fromhertz, CEO of The Tribeca Trade Group. "That's what's pushing us up in this last leg."
"I think we're going to see a consolidation at some point," he said. "It's not to say we need a major pullback; I just think we need to consolidate the gains a little bit. That may happen with what comes out with some of the bigger tech names."
Facebook and Microsoft are among the companies set to report later on Wednesday, while Amazon is scheduled to release its results on Thursday.
Nearly 130 S&P 500 companies have reported calendar first-quarter earnings so far. Of those companies, 78% have reported better-than-forecast profits, according to Refinitiv.
"If there's an earnings recession out there, it's hard to see in the latest batch of earnings reports," Ed Yardeni, president and chief investment strategist at Yardeni Research, wrote in a note.
Earlier on Wednesday, Caterpillar reported better-than-expected earnings and revenue for the previous quarter. However, the stock fell more than 3%. Boeing shares, meanwhile, rose 1% despite the company pulling its 2019 guidance and halting its buyback program.
Domino's Pizza, meanwhile rose 10% on stronger-than-forecast quarterly results. Anthem and Biogen's earnings also beat estimates.
—CNBC's Sam Meredith contributed to this report.
Stocks opened mixed, but slipped lower early Wednesday, as investors worked through a crowded earnings calendar. Dow Jones stocks Boeing (BA) and Caterpillar (CAT) reported before the open. Microsoft (MSFT) and Facebook (FB) are among those due to report after the close.
XThe Nasdaq inched a fraction higher at the starting bell, then dipped 0.1%. The Dow Jones industrials and the S&P 500 each traded down 0.1%.
On the Dow, Boeing gained 0.7% following its report. Caterpillar tumbled 3.3%, despite meeting forecasts. Dow Jones stock Microsoft fell 0.5%, with its fiscal third-quarter earnings due out after Wednesday's closing bell.
Elsewhere on the earnings front, eBay (EBAY), Manhattan Associates (MANH) and Teradyne (TER) posted wide early gains. Domino's Pizza (DPZ) and Silicon Labs (SLAB) also soared, while IRobot (IRBT) and Robert Half (RHI) brooked deep early losses.
Telecom giant AT&T (T) tumbled almost 3% on mixed first-quarter results.
Anadarko Petroleum (APC) spiked 12%, while Occidental Petroleum (OXY) slipped 2%. Occidental raised its takeover offer for Anadarko, attempting to outbid Dow Jones stock Chevron (CVX).
Among IPOs, Warrior Coal (HCC), Jumia Technologies (JMIA) and MongoDB (MDB) all rose in early action.
Facebook opened to narrow losses ahead of its after-hours earnings report. Other names due to report after the close include Tesla (TSLA), Visa (V) and Xilinx (XLNX).
The Nasdaq Composite hit a new closing high on Tuesday, and on Wednesday traded just a fraction below its record high of 8,133. The S&P 500 hung just below its Sept. 21 peak of 2,940. The Dow Jones industrials ended Tuesday 1.1% off its 26,951 high, chalked up on Oct. 3.
Small caps continue to be the market laggards, with the Russell 2000 still almost 10% off its Aug. 31 record. The S&P Smallcap 600 remains more than 13% from its August high. Both indexes continue to battle resistance at their 200-day moving averages.
A move to fresh highs would be a bullish signal for the overall market. But how far a rally can run with small caps not on board remains a nagging question.
For more detailed analysis of the current stock market and its confirmed uptrend, study the Big Picture.
Caterpillar backed out of early gains and tanked 3.3% after reporting revenue up 4.7% and earnings rising 4.3%. Both numbers met expectations, with the earnings number adjusted to exclude a 31-cent tax benefit. The company also reported a $178 million benefit from revised tax rules. Full-year earnings guidance was in line with analyst targets.
Caterpillar stock is climbing the right side of a six-month consolidation.
A busy morning for aerospace/defense earnings news saw reports from Boeing, Northrup Grumman (NOC) and General Dynamics (GD). Boeing firmed up to a 1.2% gain, despite reporting both earnings and revenue below analyst estimates. Loss of 737 deliveries drove first-quarter commercial aircraft revenue down 9%. The company said its full-year 2019 outlook would be delayed until further notice.
Boeing shares are down 16% from their March high, but holding support at their 40-week moving average.
Boeing carries 9.5% of the Dow Jones industrials' weighting. Caterpillar weighs in at 3.6%.
Domino's Pizza sliced 10% higher in early action, despite mixed first-quarter results. The stock is trading just below a 297.27 buy point in a two-month cup base.
Silicon Laboratories spiked 14%, as earnings beat analyst expectations and revenue fell in line with views. Management boosted its second-quarter earnings guidance to well above analyst targets. Shares are moving up the right side of a 10-month cup base that has reset Silicon Lab's base count. The potential buy point is at 110.80.
EBay swung 4.7% higher as analysts cranked up the stock's price target following strong first-quarter results late Tuesday. Among the increases, Piper Jaffray raised the stock's price target to 35, from 32. Raymond James raised its target to 44, from 39. JPMorgan lifted its target to 39, from 36.
EBay stock ended Tuesday not far from several potential buy points. Those include a 39.24 entry in a 16-month saucer base, and a 38.43 buy point on an eight-week double-bottom base.
Among IPOs, Zoom Video fizzled 0.5% at the open, while Jumia Technologies cranked out a 6% gain. The Renaissance IPO ETF (IPO) edged up 0.9%.
Warrior Met Coal jumped 1.6% in early trade, just enough to clear a 32.16 buy point in a three-weeks-tight pattern. The company announced a special cash dividend late Tuesday, of $4.41 per share.
Oil prices will remain an issue as markets move toward the May 2 expiration of waivers that had permitted major buyers of oil to continue doing business with Iran. Buyers including China and India are now either scrambling to replace that source of heavy crude, or choosing to violate U.S. sanctions and risk retaliation from the Trump administration. The administration says it intends to drive Iran's oil exports to zero. The country reportedly exported 1.4 million barrels per day in March.
West Texas Intermediate oil prices are up 57% from a December low, ending Tuesday at their highest level since Oct. 29. WTI ticked a fraction lower early Wednesday, holding just above $66 a barrel. Europe's Brent crude benchmark moved up to thin gains, trading above $74. Oil prices could see some impact from weekly oil inventory data, due out from the Energy Information Administration at 10:30 a.m. ET.
Follow Alan R. Elliott on Twitter @IBD_Aelliott
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