Jumat, 12 April 2019

Uber's IPO prospectus says it may never be profitable - INSIDER

Dara Khosrowshahi.JPGUber CEO Dara Khosrowshahi.Reuters

  • Uber filed to go public on Thursday, publishing a 300-page prospectus for potential investors.
  • The document contains a startling revelation: Uber admits it may never be profitable.
  • It's not unusual, however, as firms like Lyft and Snap have issued similar warnings.
  • More companies than ever are going public without any profits to speak of, with tech firms leading the charge.
  • It serves as a chilling reminder of the dotcom crash, which claimed several high-profile companies and put 200,000 tech workers out of a job.
  • Visit BusinessInsider.com for more stories.

Uber filed to go public on Thursday, dumping a 300-page prospectus on potential investors about its sprawling $11.3 billion business empire. Bloomberg's Shira Ovide described it as the "most complex S-1 I've ever read."

Among the revelations contained in this tome were details of Uber's love/hate relationship with former CEO Travis Kalanick, revelations about who's going to get rich when Uber joins Wall Street, insight on its battle to maintain drivers as contractors rather than employees, and information on its relationship with Google

But also within the pages of the prospectus was a startling revelation: Uber admits it may never be profitable. The ride-hailing company, which posted a $3 billion operating loss last year, said: "We expect our operating expenses to increase significantly in the foreseeable future, and we may not achieve profitability."

Read more: Google just beat Amazon to launching one of the first drone delivery services

The document goes on to list a litany of risk factors. These range from its huge spending on things like drivers, "unproven" revenue lines, and the danger of unrealized cost savings from its Careem acquisition, to the fact that Uber Eats (Uber's food delivery business) makes a loss on some of the partnerships it has with big chains like McDonald's. 

"We will need to generate and sustain increased revenue levels and decrease proportionate expenses in future periods to achieve profitability in many of our largest markets, including in the United States, and even if we do, we may not be able to maintain or increase profitability," Uber said.

A chilling reminder of the dotcom crash

The admission is far from ideal, but it is also far from unusual in today's IPO market. Lyft's S-1 contained very similar language — "we have a history of net losses and we may not be able to achieve or maintain profitability in the future" — while Snap also said it "may never achieve or maintain profitability" when it went public in 2017. Two years on, Snap is still loss-making.

In fact, more companies than ever are going public without any profits to speak of.

According to research from University of Florida finance professor Jay Ritter — illustrated well here in Recode — 81% of US companies floated as loss-making entities last year. The graph below, produced by Ritter, shows the percentage of IPOs with negative earnings per share since 1980.

Screen Shot 2019 04 12 at 11.22.02Jay Ritter

For tech firms, it was even higher at 84%, largely driven by biotech companies raising money. In fact, the last time so many tech firms were going public without making any money was in 1999 and 2000, when 86% of the internet companies that turned to Wall Street were unprofitable.

The turn of the millennium was, of course, the year the dotcom bubble burst, leading to the death of companies like Pets.com, Kozmo.com, and the loss of around 200,000 jobs in Silicon Valley.

Uber will likely be the biggest IPO of 2019, with forecasts pegging its value at around $100 billion. That being the case, it will probably serve as the yardstick against which to measure this year's IPO bonanza, which will see firms like Pinterest and Airbnb also go public. It might also be the canary in the coalmine if things turn ugly.

Uber has been honest about its profit-making potential, but it need not look far for an example of success. Amazon was the prince of no profit when it first arrived on Wall Street in 1997, with Quartz pointing out that it lost a total of  $2.8 billion over the first 17 quarters after its IPO. Now, Amazon makes more than $3 billion a quarter — as much money as Uber lost over the whole of last year. 

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2019-04-12 12:31:20Z
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Mid-engine Chevrolet Corvette confirmed for 2020, will debut July 18 - Fox News

After years of rumors, spy photos and revealing patent and trademark filings, Chevrolet has finally confirmed that the next Corvette will be switching to a mid-engine layout.

General Motors CEO Mary Barra made the announcement on Thursday night in New York, after arriving at a charity gala in a camouflaged prototype of the car that was driven by its chief engineer, Tadge Juechter, and emblazoned with the date it will officially debut: 07/18/2019.

Technical details were not announced, but the teaser website for the new car says that "The Next Generation Corvette is the most anticipated Corvette ever. It’s the sum of each generation before it, but will stand alone as the new standard of performance."

Chevrolet has been toying with the idea of a mid-engine Corvette since the 1960s, but has stuck to the front-engine layout since the first one went on sale in 1953, despite the limitations of the design. Putting the motor in the middle unlocks a level of performance that Chevrolet is hoping will allow the Corvette to compete even better with exotic sports cars like the Ferrari F8 Tributo, Lamborghini Huracan and Ford GT.

The general consensus of speculation surrounding the car has been that the base Corvette will be powered by a naturally aspirated V8 with around 500 hp and not cost much more than the current $56,990 Stingray, while higher performance models could feature turbocharged or supercharged engines and possibly an all-wheel-drive hybrid drivetrain offering as much as 1,000 hp.

As for the current Corvette, Barra said the last one built, a black Z06, will be auctioned at the Barrett-Jackson event in Connecticut on June 28, wth all proceeds going to The Stephen Siller Tunnel to Towers Foundation, which supports injured first responders and members of the U.S. Armed Forces and their families, along with other causes.

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2019-04-12 12:18:17Z
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Stocks - Anadarko Surges, Chevron Falls in Premarket; JP Morgan, Disney, Jump - Investing.com

© Reuters.  © Reuters.

Investing.com - Stocks in focus in premarket trade Friday:

• Anadarko Petroleum (NYSE:) stock surged 32.0% by 8:14 AM ET (12:14 GMT) after Chevron announced it would in cash and stock. Shares in Chevron (NYSE:) were off 3.8%.

• JP Morgan (NYSE:) stock jumped 2.8% after the company reported , beating .

• Walt Disney (NYSE:) stock rose 3.3% after the company announced the for its new streaming service. It has priced its offer below Netflix's (NASDAQ:) basic fee. Netflix shares fell 1.1% on the news.

• Boeing (NYSE:) stock advanced 1.4% as Chief Executive Officer Dennis Muilenburg said that in 96 test flights.

Wells Fargo (NYSE:) stock traded up 2.1% as .

• Tesla (NASDAQ:) stock gained 0.2% after the company said it has for a lower-priced version of its Model 3 car.

• PNC Financial (NYSE:) stock inched up 0.1% as came in slightly above expectations and .

Disclaimer: Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. All CFDs (stocks, indexes, futures) and Forex prices are not provided by exchanges but rather by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual market price, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Therefore Fusion Media doesn`t bear any responsibility for any trading losses you might incur as a result of using this data.

Fusion Media or anyone involved with Fusion Media will not accept any liability for loss or damage as a result of reliance on the information including data, quotes, charts and buy/sell signals contained within this website. Please be fully informed regarding the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, it is one of the riskiest investment forms possible.

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2019-04-12 12:18:00Z
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Stocks - Futures Rise on Chevron's $33 Billion Vote of Confidence - Investing.com

© Reuters.  © Reuters.

Investing.com -- U.S. stock markets are poised to open sharply higher Friday, as oil major Chevron 's (NYSE:) offer to buy Anadarko Petroleum (NYSE:) for $33 billion signals confidence in one of economy’s strongest growth engines.

Anadarko shares are indicated to open up 30% at over $61 after Chevron a cash-and-stock offer that values the shale-focused producer at $65 a share. Chevron stock is marked down 3%, as investors digest the message that the acquisition would take a year to be earnings-accretive for its own stock. The company also said it would increase its buyback program by 20% after completing the transaction.

“The combination of the two companies will create a 75-mile-wide corridor across the most attractive acreage in the Delaware basin, extending Chevron’s leading position as a producer in the Permian,” Chevron said in its statement. It will also increase its exposure to the fast-growing market for liquefied , through Anadarko’s operations in Mozambique.

Major index futures were already set to open higher, after stronger-than-expected Chinese data for the first quarter reassured markets that Beijing’s fiscal and monetary stimulus measures have steadied the economy after its slowdown at the end of last year.

As of 06:30 AM ET (10:30 GMT), the contract was up 13 points, or 0.5%, the contract was up 163 points, or 0.6%, while the contract was up 27.5 points or 0.4%.

The market is gearing up for the unofficial start of earnings season, with first-quarter results from JPMorgan (NYSE:) driving it to a 2.3% gain in premarket trade. Wells Fargo (NYSE:) and PNC Financial (NYSE:) are also due to report later.

The , which measures the greenback against a basket of major currencies, was down 0.3% at 96.860, down 0.3% as the euro hit a three-week high on the back of signs that Eurozone industrial production started to bottom out in February.

The better economic data helped to recoup all its losses from Thursday. The benchmark WTI futures contract was up 1.5% at $64.53.

Disclaimer: Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. All CFDs (stocks, indexes, futures) and Forex prices are not provided by exchanges but rather by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual market price, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Therefore Fusion Media doesn`t bear any responsibility for any trading losses you might incur as a result of using this data.

Fusion Media or anyone involved with Fusion Media will not accept any liability for loss or damage as a result of reliance on the information including data, quotes, charts and buy/sell signals contained within this website. Please be fully informed regarding the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, it is one of the riskiest investment forms possible.

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2019-04-12 10:47:00Z
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Chevron Announces Agreement to Acquire Anadarko - Business Wire

SAN RAMON, Calif.--()--Chevron Corporation (NYSE: CVX) announced today that it has entered into a definitive agreement with Anadarko Petroleum Corporation (NYSE: APC) to acquire all of the outstanding shares of Anadarko in a stock and cash transaction valued at $33 billion, or $65 per share. Based on Chevron’s closing price on April 11, 2019 and under the terms of the agreement, Anadarko shareholders will receive 0.3869 shares of Chevron and $16.25 in cash for each Anadarko share. The total enterprise value of the transaction is $50 billion.

The acquisition of Anadarko will significantly enhance Chevron’s already advantaged Upstream portfolio and further strengthen its leading positions in large, attractive shale, deepwater and natural gas resource basins. Furthermore, Western Midstream Partners, LP (NYSE: WES) is a successful midstream company whose assets are well aligned with the combined companies’ upstream positions, which should further enhance their economics and execution capabilities.

“This transaction builds strength on strength for Chevron,” said Chevron’s Chairman and CEO Michael Wirth. “The combination of Anadarko’s premier, high-quality assets with our advantaged portfolio strengthens our leading position in the Permian, builds on our deepwater Gulf of Mexico capabilities and will grow our LNG business. It creates attractive growth opportunities in areas that play to Chevron’s operational strengths and underscores our commitment to short-cycle, higher-return investments.”

“This transaction will unlock significant value for shareholders, generating anticipated annual run-rate synergies of approximately $2 billion, and will be accretive to free cash flow and earnings one year after close,” Wirth concluded.

“The strategic combination of Chevron and Anadarko will form a stronger and better company with world-class assets, people and opportunities,” said Anadarko Chairman and CEO Al Walker. “I have tremendous respect for Mike and his leadership team and believe Chevron’s strategy, scale and operational capabilities will further accelerate the value of Anadarko’s assets.”

Transaction Benefits

  • Strong Strategic Fit: Anadarko’s assets will enhance Chevron’s portfolio across a diverse set of asset classes, including:
    • Shale & Tight – The combination of the two companies will create a 75-mile-wide corridor across the most attractive acreage in the Delaware basin, extending Chevron’s leading position as a producer in the Permian.
    • Deepwater – The combination will enhance Chevron's existing high-margin position in the deepwater Gulf of Mexico (GOM), where it is already a leading producer, and extend its deepwater infrastructure network.
    • LNG – Chevron will gain another world-class resource base in Mozambique to support growing LNG demand. Area 1 is a very cost-competitive and well-prepared greenfield project close to major markets.
  • Significant Operating and Capital Synergies: The transaction is expected to achieve run-rate cost synergies of $1 billion before tax and capital spending reductions of $1 billion within a year of closing.
  • Accretive to Free Cash Flow and EPS: Chevron expects the transaction to be accretive to free cash flow and earnings per share one year after closing, at $60 Brent.
  • Opportunity to High-Grade Portfolio: Chevron plans to divest $15 to $20 billion of assets between 2020 and 2022. The proceeds will be used to further reduce debt and return additional cash to shareholders.
  • Increased Shareholder Returns: As a result of higher expected free cash flow, Chevron plans to increase its share repurchase rate from $4 billion to $5 billion per year upon closing the transaction.

Transaction Details

The acquisition consideration is structured as 75 percent stock and 25 percent cash, providing an overall value of $65 per share based on the closing price of Chevron stock on April 11, 2019. In aggregate, upon closing of the transaction, Chevron will issue approximately 200 million shares of stock and pay approximately $8 billion in cash. Chevron will also assume estimated net debt of $15 billion. Total enterprise value of $50 billion includes the assumption of net debt and book value of non-controlling interest.

The transaction has been approved by the Boards of Directors of both companies and is expected to close in the second half of the year. The acquisition is subject to Anadarko shareholder approval. It is also subject to regulatory approvals and other customary closing conditions.

Upon closing, the Company will continue be led by Michael Wirth as Chairman and CEO. Chevron will remain headquartered in San Ramon, California.

Advisors

Credit Suisse Securities (USA) LLC is acting as financial advisor to Chevron. Paul, Weiss, Rifkind, Wharton & Garrison LLP is acting as legal advisor to Chevron. Evercore and Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC are acting as financial advisors to Anadarko. Wachtell, Lipton, Rosen & Katz and Vinson & Elkins LLP are acting as legal advisors to Anadarko.

Conference Call

Chevron will conduct a conference call on Friday, April 12, 2019, at 8:30 a.m. ET to discuss the transaction.

A webcast of the discussion will be available in a listen-only mode to individual investors, media, and other interested parties on Chevron’s website at www.chevron.com under the “Investors” section, or by calling Toll-Free U.S. +1 866-219-7734 or International +1 478-205-0666 and providing the Conference ID 2864506. Additional materials will be available under “Events and Presentations” in the “Investors” section on the Chevron website.

About Chevron

Chevron Corporation is one of the world's leading integrated energy companies. Through its subsidiaries that conduct business worldwide, the company is involved in virtually every facet of the energy industry. Chevron explores for, produces and transports crude oil and natural gas; refines, markets and distributes transportation fuels and lubricants; manufactures and sells petrochemicals and additives; generates power; and develops and deploys technologies that enhance business value in every aspect of the company's operations. Chevron is based in San Ramon, Calif. More information about Chevron is available at www.chevron.com.

About Anadarko

Anadarko Petroleum Corporation’s mission is to deliver a competitive and sustainable rate of return to shareholders by exploring for, acquiring and developing oil and natural gas resources vital to the world’s health and welfare. As of year-end 2018, the company had 1.47 billion barrels-equivalent of proved reserves, making it one of the world’s largest independent exploration and production companies. For more information about Anadarko and APC Flash Feed updates, please visit www.anadarko.com.

As used in this news release, the term “Chevron” and such terms as “the company,” “the corporation,” “our,” “we,” “us” and “its” may refer to Chevron Corporation, one or more of its consolidated subsidiaries, or to all of them taken as a whole. All of these terms are used for convenience only and are not intended as a precise description of any of the separate companies, each of which manages its own affairs.

Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements

This communication contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. These forward-looking statements generally include statements regarding the potential transaction between Chevron Corporation (“Chevron”) and Anadarko Petroleum Corporation (“Anadarko”), including any statements regarding the expected timetable for completing the potential transaction, the ability to complete the potential transaction, the expected benefits of the potential transaction (including anticipated annual operating cost and capital synergies and anticipated free cash flow accretion), the increase of Chevron’s share repurchase annual target, projected financial information, future opportunities, and any other statements regarding Chevron’s and Anadarko’s future expectations, beliefs, plans, objectives, results of operations, financial condition and cash flows, or future events or performance. These statements are often, but not always, made through the use of words or phrases such as “anticipates,” “expects,” “intends,” “plans,” “targets,” “forecasts,” “projects,” “believes,” “seeks,” “schedules,” “estimates,” “positions,” “pursues,” “may,” “could,” “should,” “will,” “budgets,” “outlook,” “trends,” “guidance,” “focus,” “on schedule,” “on track,” “is slated,” “goals,” “objectives,” “strategies,” “opportunities,” “poised” and similar expressions. All such forward-looking statements are based on current expectations of Chevron’s and Anadarko’s management and therefore involve estimates and assumptions that are subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from the results expressed in the statements. Key factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected in the forward-looking statements include the ability to obtain the requisite Anadarko stockholder approval; uncertainties as to the timing to consummate the potential transaction; the risk that a condition to closing the potential transaction may not be satisfied; the risk that regulatory approvals are not obtained or are obtained subject to conditions that are not anticipated by the parties; the effects of disruption to Chevron’s or Anadarko’s respective businesses; the effect of this communication on Chevron’s or Anadarko’s stock prices; the effects of industry, market, economic, political or regulatory conditions outside of Chevron’s or Anadarko’s control; transaction costs; Chevron’s ability to achieve the benefits from the proposed transaction, including the anticipated annual operating cost and capital synergies; Chevron’s ability to promptly, efficiently and effectively integrate acquired operations into its own operations; unknown liabilities; and the diversion of management time on transaction-related issues. Other important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements are: changing crude oil and natural gas prices; changing refining, marketing and chemicals margins; Chevron's ability to realize anticipated cost savings and expenditure reductions; actions of competitors or regulators; timing of exploration expenses; timing of crude oil liftings; the competitiveness of alternate-energy sources or product substitutes; technological developments; the results of operations and financial condition of Chevron's suppliers, vendors, partners and equity affiliates, particularly during extended periods of low prices for crude oil and natural gas; the inability or failure of Chevron’s joint-venture partners to fund their share of operations and development activities; the potential failure to achieve expected net production from existing and future crude oil and natural gas development projects; potential delays in the development, construction or start-up of planned projects; the potential disruption or interruption of Chevron’s operations due to war, accidents, political events, civil unrest, severe weather, cyber threats and terrorist acts, crude oil production quotas or other actions that might be imposed by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, or other natural or human causes beyond Chevron’s control; changing economic, regulatory and political environments in the various countries in which Chevron operates; general domestic and international economic and political conditions; the potential liability for remedial actions or assessments under existing or future environmental regulations and litigation; significant operational, investment or product changes required by existing or future environmental statutes and regulations, including international agreements and national or regional legislation and regulatory measures to limit or reduce greenhouse gas emissions; the potential liability resulting from other pending or future litigation; Chevron’s future acquisition or disposition of assets or shares or the delay or failure of such transactions to close based on required closing conditions; the potential for gains and losses from asset dispositions or impairments; government-mandated sales, divestitures, recapitalizations, industry-specific taxes, tariffs, sanctions, changes in fiscal terms or restrictions on scope of company operations; foreign currency movements compared with the U.S. dollar; material reductions in corporate liquidity and access to debt markets; the effects of changed accounting rules under generally accepted accounting principles promulgated by rule-setting bodies; Chevron's ability to identify and mitigate the risks and hazards inherent in operating in the global energy industry; and the factors set forth under the heading “Risk Factors” on pages 18 through 21 of Chevron’s 2018 Annual Report on Form 10-K. Other unpredictable or unknown factors not discussed in this communication could also have material adverse effects on forward-looking statements. Chevron assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements, except as required by law. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements that speak only as of the date hereof.

Important Information For Investors And Stockholders

This communication does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any securities or a solicitation of any vote or approval, nor shall there be any sale of securities in any jurisdiction in which such offer, solicitation or sale would be unlawful prior to registration or qualification under the securities laws of any such jurisdiction. No offer of securities shall be made except by means of a prospectus meeting the requirements of Section 10 of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended. In connection with the potential transaction, Chevron expects to file a registration statement on Form S-4 with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) containing a preliminary prospectus of Chevron that also constitutes a preliminary proxy statement of Anadarko. After the registration statement is declared effective Anadarko will mail a definitive proxy statement/prospectus to stockholders of Anadarko. This communication is not a substitute for the proxy statement/prospectus or registration statement or for any other document that Chevron or Anadarko may file with the SEC and send to Anadarko’s stockholders in connection with the potential transaction. INVESTORS AND SECURITY HOLDERS OF CHEVRON AND ANADARKO ARE URGED TO READ THE PROXY STATEMENT/PROSPECTUS AND OTHER DOCUMENTS FILED WITH THE SEC CAREFULLY AND IN THEIR ENTIRETY WHEN THEY BECOME AVAILABLE BECAUSE THEY WILL CONTAIN IMPORTANT INFORMATION. Investors and security holders will be able to obtain free copies of the proxy statement/prospectus (when available) and other documents filed with the SEC by Chevron or Anadarko through the website maintained by the SEC at http://www.sec.gov. Copies of the documents filed with the SEC by Chevron will be available free of charge on Chevron’s website at http://www.chevron.com/investors and copies of the documents filed with the SEC by Anadarko will be available free of charge on Anadarko’s website at http://investors.anadarko.com.

Chevron and Anadarko and certain of their respective directors, certain of their respective executive officers and other members of management and employees may be considered participants in the solicitation of proxies with respect to the potential transaction under the rules of the SEC. Information about the directors and executive officers of Chevron is set forth in its Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2018, which was filed with the SEC on February 22, 2019, and its proxy statement for its 2019 annual meeting of stockholders, which Chevron expects to be filed with the SEC on April 15, 2019. Information about the directors and executive officers of Anadarko is set forth in its Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2018, which was filed with the SEC on February 14, 2019, and its proxy statement for its 2019 annual meeting of stockholders, which was filed with the SEC on March 29, 2019. These documents can be obtained free of charge from the sources indicated above. Additional information regarding the interests of such participants in the solicitation of proxies in respect of the potential transaction will be included in the registration statement and proxy statement/prospectus and other relevant materials to be filed with the SEC when they become available.

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2019-04-12 10:00:00Z
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He Has Driven for Uber Since 2012. He Makes About $40,000 a Year. - The New York Times

COTATI, Calif. — Uber’s public stock offering next month will make a bunch of people remarkably rich. Peter Ashlock is not one of them, although he has toiled for the ride-hailing company almost since the beginning.

Mr. Ashlock, who will be 71 next week, has racked up more than 25,000 trips as an Uber driver since 2012. His Nissan Altima has 218,000 miles on it — nearly the distance to the moon. His passengers rate him 4.93 out of five stars. His favorite review: “Dude drove like a cabdriver.”

While he is an integral part of Uber’s success, Mr. Ashlock is barely getting by. His 2018 tax return will show an adjusted gross income in the neighborhood of $40,000, better than 2016 and 2017. But he has maxed out his $3,200 credit limit at the local Midas car-repair shop and needs to come up with $5,000 to pay his taxes. He has Social Security but no savings to buy a new car that will let him keep working.

Silicon Valley has always been a lottery where immense wealth is secured by a few while everyone else must hope for better luck some other time. Rarely, however, has the disparity been on such stark display as with Uber. Its stock market value is expected to be about $100 billion, which would make it one of the richest Silicon Valley public offerings of all time.

Among those with something to celebrate: Uber’s founders, the Japanese conglomerate SoftBank, the elite venture capitalists Benchmark and Google’s GV, Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund and the mutual fund giant Fidelity. Some have already cashed in. Travis Kalanick, Uber’s co-founder and chief executive until he was forced out after a series of scandals, reaped $1.4 billion by selling fewer than a third of his shares to private investors in 2017.

As independent contractors, drivers are not eligible for employee benefits like paid vacations or stock options. Uber said Thursday that it would offer bonuses of $100 to $10,000 to long-serving drivers. Its chief competitor, Lyft, did the same when it went public in March.

Mr. Ashlock, who lives with his wife, Daphne, in a rented house in the rural community of Cotati, 50 miles north of San Francisco, will take as much as he can get. But don’t call it a triumph.

“Ever see W. C. Fields in ‘The Bank Dick’?” he asked. “He catches a robber and retrieves the stolen $25,000, so the president of the bank gives him a hearty hand clasp and a beautiful illustrated calendar advertising the bank. It’s trivial.”

Mr. Ashlock illustrates the hollow promise of the so-called gig economy, which billed itself as being superior to the usual manager-employee relationship. It promised to harness the power of technology to liberate the struggling millions.

“Uber is a new way of working: It’s about people having the freedom to start and stop work when they want, at the push of a button,” Mr. Kalanick said in 2016.

The old-style taxi companies were an ideal villain. Taxi drivers, Uber proclaimed, were oppressed workers. In a 2014 press release, it said cabdrivers were required to spend “over $40,000 per year just to lease their taxi, so that wealthy taxi company owners can reap the benefits of drivers having no other option to make a living.”

Being an Uber driver, by contrast, was “sustainable and profitable,” the company said. Drivers were described as entrepreneurs with a median income of $74,000 in San Francisco and $90,000 in New York. A Denver cabby who switched to Uber was quoted: “I feel emancipated.”

The Federal Trade Commission found the claims to be false advertising, and the company agreed to a $20 million settlement.

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Mr. Ashlock created a head modeled on Travis Kalanick, Uber’s former chief executive, giving it a tattoo of Ayn Rand.CreditJason Henry for The New York Times

Mr. Ashlock spent a decade as a San Francisco cabdriver in the 1970s and 1980s as he sought to make a living as an artist. He recalls taking home about $500 a week, equivalent to $1,500 now. He bought gas for the cab but did not have to worry about repairs or upkeep.

In 2018, working mostly for Uber and a small amount for Lyft, he drove and drove and drove. That produced gross receipts of $88,661. The companies took $20,000 in commissions and fees. He can deduct $30,000 on his taxes for gas and depreciation. A small class-action settlement and Social Security helped his bottom line, but payments on an old student loan hurt it.

The more Mr. Ashlock drives, the faster his car depreciates, but it also speeds closer the moment when he will need to spend $23,000 he doesn’t have on a new Altima. He’s driving to pay his car-repair bills — $5,000 in the last six months, plus new tires.

“That was Uber’s big innovation — make the drivers absorb the overhead,” he said.

“It’s your classic rat race,” said Michael Reich, an expert on the economics of ride-sharing and a co-chairman of the Center on Wage and Employment Dynamics at the University of California, Berkeley. “You get deeper into a hole over time.”

Getting out poses its own problems. In a country that values the young and cheap, Mr. Ashlock has few other options to make a living.

“I am rather at Uber’s mercy,” he said.

Driving for Uber is not a profession that lends itself to fame, but Mr. Ashlock has achieved more than any of his three million peers around the world. He has been quoted extensively, becoming one of ride-sharing’s public faces by presenting a driver’s point of view.

He is not an activist. There was a recent strike by drivers in Los Angeles. Mr. Ashlock didn’t even hear about it. When he gets really mad at Uber, his rebellion goes only as far as driving for Lyft. That’s what he did for much of 2017. His adjusted gross income that year was $22,378.

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Ride-hailing drivers in the Los Angeles area protested last month in Redondo Beach, Calif.CreditEugene Garcia/EPA, via Shutterstock

His wife, a retired horse trainer who has problems with her health, is not an agitator, either. “I am numb to the whole subject of driving,” she said.

On a recent Wednesday, Mr. Ashlock packed a corned beef sandwich, carrots, some C4 energy powder mixed with water, and a Kirkland Extra Strength Energy Shot. At 4:23 p.m., he set off for San Francisco, where the rides are.

He was on a Quest. This is Uber-speak for goals the company offers. If he completed 60 trips by Friday morning, for instance, he would get a $30 bonus. An additional 20 trips would yield a further $10. Uber needs drivers out on the streets — if riders have to wait, they might take their own car.

If Mr. Ashlock does not choose a Quest, he is assigned one. For full-time drivers, the goals can be lucrative if undependable: Nearly a quarter of Mr. Ashlock’s take-home pay from Uber last year was in the form of incentives. This one, however, was too small to bother with. “Thirty dollars,” he said, “is like ‘I don’t care.’”

A few minutes after 3 a.m., Mr. Ashlock was home again. According to Uber, he had made 25 trips in nine hours. He earned $200 in rides after Uber’s commission, plus $11 in tips and a $13 promotional bonus.

That’s nearly $25 an hour, which sounds impressive. But it cost $47 to fill up the Altima with gas. And he was actually working longer than he was on the clock. After he dropped off his last passenger and turned off the Uber app, it was 65 miles back to his house.

He and his wife used to live in Crockett, which is 20 miles closer to San Francisco, but were evicted when their place was sold two years ago. Their Cotati home, a former farm building, is a bargain for the pricey Bay Area at $1,400 a month. There is lots of room to make art but little natural light.

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Other works by Mr. Ashlock, who was paid $224 during a recent nine-hour shift for Uber but spent $47 on gas.CreditJason Henry for The New York Times

Mr. Ashlock is unsentimental about the cab companies of the past. He knew three cabbies who were murdered. Drivers are safer now, since a credit card is needed to establish an account and get a ride. And they serve people and neighborhoods they never served before.

But vomiting is up. Before, he could choose not to pick 22-year-olds who seemed to have had too much to drink; now he must commit to riders before he sees them. A few times a year, passengers hurl in the back seat.

Impersonality is up, too. For Uber to be worth $100 billion, it cannot afford to have lots of humans dealing with the drivers. On a recent Saturday night, just as he was winding down a week with 120 trips, Mr. Ashlock got an email from Uber.

“Hi Peter,” it said. “A rider mentioned that an argument on a recent trip with you made them feel uncomfortable.”

Which rider? When? What did Mr. Ashlock supposedly say? No details were provided. At other times, Uber’s attempts to be chummy can be grating. In a review of Mr. Ashlock’s March, it observed: “You drove the most at night. You must be quite the night owl.”

Uber and Lyft are the first two Silicon Valley companies to go public that rely on millions of low-paid workers. That bothered an anonymous Uber employee, who recently wrote on Medium that “we need to do right by our drivers” and called for an end to “exploitative labor practices imposed on a systemically disempowered work force.”

Uber declined to comment, citing the pre-I.P.O. quiet period.

On days off, Mr. Ashlock works on his art. He has created mixed-media heads of loved ones, as well as of public figures who irritate him. Mr. Kalanick was an inevitable choice.

The entrepreneur’s hair is made of shredded currency, painstakingly glued on a strip at a time. A Yellow Cab is crashing into his left cheek. There is a tattoo of Ayn Rand, the high prophet of selfishness, on his neck.

“The sculpture makes me smile,” Mr. Ashlock said. “It’s the only thing about Uber that does.”

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https://www.nytimes.com/2019/04/12/technology/uber-driver-ipo.html

2019-04-12 09:00:12Z
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Kamis, 11 April 2019

Lyft Started at Neutral at HSBC - Motley Fool

Shares of No. 2 ridesharing platform Lyft (NASDAQ:LYFT) took a big hit yesterday, dropping 11% on reports that larger rival Uber could file its own public S-1 Registration Statement with the SEC any minute now, opening up its own books for the first time. Uber is expected to raise around $10 billion in fresh capital at a valuation of $90 billion to $100 billion, which would both bolster Uber's war chest while drawing away investor attention from Lyft.

After getting hit with their first sell rating earlier this month, another analyst is shifting into neutral on Lyft shares.

Lyft app interface displayed on three smartphones

Image source: Lyft.

Still in Uber's shadow

HSBC has initiated coverage on Lyft, starting the stock off with a hold rating alongside a $60 price target. While analyst Masha Kahn is bullish on the ridesharing industry's growth, competition will be intense and will make margin expansion incredibly difficult. "We are bullish on the growth prospects for ride-hailing, but as the clear No. 2 in the US, Lyft is likely to face a bumpy ride," the analyst wrote. "Autonomous driving could be a game changer for ride-hailing, but this looks unlikely before 2025."

Autonomous driving has long been hailed as the ridesharing industry's inflection point, carrying the potential to dramatically revolutionize a labor-intensive cost structure that when combined with low fare prices is currently unsustainable. However, Ford CEO Jim Hackett conceded just this week that the technical challenge surrounding autonomous driving is far greater than previously expected. "We overestimated the arrival of autonomous vehicles," Hackett said at a Detroit Economic Club event earlier this week. Hackett should know, too: He was previously in charge of Ford's autonomous driving division.

"Given that smaller, number two players will always scale at a lower margin than dominant players, we think Lyft deserves a discount to other ride-hailing players that dominate their markets," Kahn added.

Uber is a notoriously fierce competitor and known for offering aggressive pricing in order to preclude rivals and expand its market share. Competitors are forced to respond with low prices of their own, and the industry consequently burns through copious amounts of capital. Uber will simply have more capital to burn. If all of Lyft's underwriters were to exercise their options, the company would have ended 2018 with $3.1 billion in cash and cash equivalents on the balance sheet, according to Lyft's prospectus.

Even before seeing Uber's recent financial statements, the company has always been better capitalized than Lyft. Uber had raised a total of $24.2 billion in private funding rounds, according to Crunchbase, compared to Lyft's $4.9 billion (not including its IPO). The $10 billion alone that Uber is looking to raise through its IPO will tower over Lyft's cash position.

Until robot cars are a thing, investors should consider taking it slow in the ridesharing industry.

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https://www.fool.com/investing/2019/04/11/lyft-started-at-neutral-at-hsbc.aspx

2019-04-11 18:19:14Z
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